Cornell
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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RankNameGradeRating
210  Brian Eimstad JR 32:12
212  Dominic DeLuca FR 32:13
233  David Melly SR 32:17
340  Ben Rainero JR 32:34
376  Tyler Eustance SR 32:38
530  James Gowans SO 32:55
626  Josh Dyrland FR 33:04
699  Connor Herr JR 33:10
873  Tyler Kawalec JR 33:28
1,265  Sam Belcher SR 34:00
1,276  Michael Wang FR 34:01
1,439  Zack Israel JR 34:13
1,469  Will Ronchetti FR 34:16
1,570  David Taylor SO 34:24
1,728  Samuel Chauvin FR 34:37
2,300  Jon Phillips SR 35:32
2,788  George Oliver JR 36:47
National Rank #44 of 311
Northeast Region Rank #4 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 3.5%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.7%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 66.2%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Brian Eimstad Dominic DeLuca David Melly Ben Rainero Tyler Eustance James Gowans Josh Dyrland Connor Herr Tyler Kawalec Sam Belcher Michael Wang
Coast-to-Coast Battle in Beantown 09/26 930 32:25 32:47 32:19 32:56 33:20 33:29
Harry F. Anderson Invitational 09/27 1218 34:22 35:48
Princeton Invitational 10/18 1060 32:30 32:49 33:33 33:53 33:42
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue Race) 10/18 714 31:50 32:05 32:05 32:22 33:32 33:15
Ivy League Heptagonal Championships 11/01 769 32:16 31:55 32:22 32:37 33:01 32:43 33:12 33:17 34:02
Northeast Region Championships 11/14 791 32:17 32:11 32:19 32:33 32:51 32:45 33:02





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 3.5% 24.9 600 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2
Region Championship 100% 5.1 154 0.3 3.9 38.2 23.9 15.7 10.5 5.4 1.8 0.3 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brian Eimstad 36.6% 140.7
Dominic DeLuca 35.7% 145.2
David Melly 25.9% 152.1
Ben Rainero 5.3% 176.0
Tyler Eustance 3.9% 187.8
James Gowans 3.5% 212.5
Josh Dyrland 3.5% 225.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brian Eimstad 20.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.3 2.1 2.3 3.1 3.7 4.1 4.7 5.1 5.3 4.9 5.3 3.7 3.7 4.1 3.5 3.2 3.0
Dominic DeLuca 21.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.5 1.4 2.2 3.4 3.3 3.9 4.0 5.0 5.0 4.8 4.5 4.4 4.1 3.7 3.7 3.3 3.1
David Melly 23.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.5 1.7 2.5 2.8 3.7 4.1 4.4 4.5 4.7 4.0 4.4 4.2 3.5 3.2 3.7
Ben Rainero 35.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.2 1.8 1.9 2.7 2.3 3.2 3.0
Tyler Eustance 39.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.7 1.8 2.2 1.9
James Gowans 56.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2
Josh Dyrland 65.3 0.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.3% 100.0% 0.3 0.3 2
3 3.9% 82.1% 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.7 3.2 3
4 38.2% 0.1% 0.0 38.2 0.0 4
5 23.9% 23.9 5
6 15.7% 15.7 6
7 10.5% 10.5 7
8 5.4% 5.4 8
9 1.8% 1.8 9
10 0.3% 0.3 10
11 0.0% 0.0 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 3.5% 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 96.5 0.3 3.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
North Carolina St. 11.6% 1.0 0.1
Eastern Michigan 1.8% 1.0 0.0
North Texas 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Texas-Arlington 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Penn 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Yale 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.2
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0