Elon
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
19  Luis Vargas SR 31:14
594  Ari Rothschild SR 33:01
1,967  Ryan Gwaltney JR 34:58
2,063  Adam Bernstein SR 35:07
2,096  Sam Geha FR 35:10
2,234  Dominic Vernaaza FR 35:25
2,236  Reed Payne JR 35:26
2,826  Carlos Andino FR 36:54
National Rank #86 of 311
Southeast Region Rank #9 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 22nd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 19.6%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Luis Vargas Ari Rothschild Ryan Gwaltney Adam Bernstein Sam Geha Dominic Vernaaza Reed Payne Carlos Andino
Notre Dame Invitational (Gold) 10/03 998 31:26 32:50 34:47 35:19 34:09 35:47 35:53
Royals Challenge 10/11 35:15 34:06 35:10 34:54
ISU Pre-National Invitational (White Race) 10/18 31:13 32:55
Colonial Athletic Association Championship 11/01 1105 31:56 33:17 34:59 35:03 35:29 35:42 38:28
3 Stripe Invite 11/08 35:41
Southeast Region Championships 11/14 1035 31:21 33:05 34:56 35:37 35:32 35:13 36:48
NCAA Championship 11/22 31:04





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 21.8 647 0.0 0.3 1.8 5.3 12.2 18.3 26.5 23.9 9.0 2.2 0.4 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luis Vargas 99.5% 22.5 0.9 1.4 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.7 2.5 2.7 2.8 3.2 2.8 2.8 2.0 2.4 2.2 2.4 2.2 1.8 2.3 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luis Vargas 1.4 42.6 17.3 12.1 7.3 4.6 3.4 2.2 2.0 1.6 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Ari Rothschild 63.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
Ryan Gwaltney 186.8
Adam Bernstein 196.0
Sam Geha 198.2
Dominic Vernaaza 213.1
Reed Payne 213.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 0.3% 0.3 17
18 1.8% 1.8 18
19 5.3% 5.3 19
20 12.2% 12.2 20
21 18.3% 18.3 21
22 26.5% 26.5 22
23 23.9% 23.9 23
24 9.0% 9.0 24
25 2.2% 2.2 25
26 0.4% 0.4 26
27 0.0% 0.0 27
28 0.0% 0.0 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0