Florida State
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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RankNameGradeRating
50  Glen Yarham JR 31:32
79  Tyler Udland SR 31:44
90  Jack Goodwin JR 31:49
205  Zak Seddon JR 32:10
537  Stanley Linton SO 32:55
630  Antony Taylor SR 33:04
674  Michael Hall FR 33:08
1,125  Otniel Teixeira SO 33:50
1,261  Bryce Kelley FR 34:00
1,785  Grant Nykaza SO 34:41
2,612  Zainelabdin Fator FR 36:13
2,642  Matthew Magee 36:18
2,654  Max Del Monte SO 36:20
2,693  Avery Lopez SO 36:27
National Rank #21 of 311
South Region Rank #1 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.9%
Most Likely Finish 31st at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 5.2%


Regional Champion 32.3%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Glen Yarham Tyler Udland Jack Goodwin Zak Seddon Stanley Linton Antony Taylor Michael Hall Otniel Teixeira Bryce Kelley Grant Nykaza Zainelabdin Fator
Charlotte Invitational 09/26 36:27
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/03 553 31:27 31:41 31:58 32:23 32:22 32:52 33:09 34:00 34:41
FSU Invitational 10/10 1136 32:55 33:31 33:23 33:38 34:37 36:00
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 447 31:37 31:30 31:43 31:52 32:16 32:59 33:09
ACC Championships 10/31 643 31:23 31:35 31:51 33:02 34:38 33:33 33:35
South Region Championships 11/14 813 31:53 31:57 32:34 33:19 33:22 33:01 33:43
NCAA Championship 11/22 984 32:52 32:18 34:48 32:52 32:46 34:36





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.9% 27.5 664 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.7 2.3 2.8 3.9 4.3 5.2 6.7 8.1 10.9 13.1 17.6 20.1
Region Championship 100% 1.9 77 32.3 49.1 17.0 1.5 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tyler Udland 100.0% 80.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4
Jack Goodwin 100.0% 92.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3
Zak Seddon 99.9% 148.4
Stanley Linton 99.9% 229.8
Antony Taylor 99.9% 237.1
Michael Hall 99.9% 239.7
Otniel Teixeira 99.9% 251.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tyler Udland 2.4 15.8 26.5 17.2 11.0 7.6 5.1 3.6 3.1 2.4 1.8 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Jack Goodwin 2.9 10.3 21.8 19.3 12.4 7.7 6.4 5.2 3.5 2.6 2.4 1.7 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Zak Seddon 7.3 0.2 2.1 5.1 8.7 10.8 10.9 10.2 8.4 7.2 5.3 4.9 3.5 3.5 2.5 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5
Stanley Linton 27.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.9 2.2 2.8 2.6 3.2 3.4 3.2 3.5 3.8 3.9 3.6 3.3 3.1
Antony Taylor 33.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.5 1.8 1.9 2.4 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.2 2.7
Michael Hall 36.7 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.6 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.9 1.8 1.9 2.5 3.0
Otniel Teixeira 73.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 32.3% 100.0% 32.3 32.3 1
2 49.1% 100.0% 49.1 49.1 2
3 17.0% 100.0% 0.4 0.9 0.8 2.0 4.5 5.0 2.3 0.9 0.1 17.0 3
4 1.5% 100.0% 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.5 4
5 0.1% 0.1 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 99.9% 32.3 49.1 0.4 1.0 0.8 2.2 4.7 5.3 2.8 1.1 0.2 0.1 81.4 18.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Michigan 99.3% 1.0 1.0
BYU 99.0% 1.0 1.0
Arkansas 98.4% 1.0 1.0
Providence 98.3% 1.0 1.0
New Mexico 96.3% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 90.5% 1.0 0.9
Colorado St. 83.9% 1.0 0.8
Indiana 83.4% 1.0 0.8
Southern Utah 79.0% 1.0 0.8
North Carolina 70.4% 1.0 0.7
Oklahoma 58.7% 1.0 0.6
Iowa State 42.0% 1.0 0.4
Minnesota 35.0% 1.0 0.4
Tulsa 27.3% 1.0 0.3
Eastern Kentucky 22.6% 2.0 0.5
Princeton 14.7% 2.0 0.3
Lamar 13.6% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 11.6% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 7.6% 1.0 0.1
Penn State 6.9% 1.0 0.1
Eastern Michigan 1.8% 1.0 0.0
Virginia Tech 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Penn 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 11.8
Minimum 7.0
Maximum 19.0