Georgetown
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
94  Jonathan Green FR 31:50
120  Darren Fahy SO 31:53
134  Scott Carpenter SO 31:56
176  John Murray SR 32:05
179  Ahmed Bile SO 32:06
213  Ryan Gil SO 32:13
244  Brian King SR 32:18
343  Collin Leibold JR 32:34
393  Stephen Kersh SR 32:40
397  Matt Howard SR 32:41
558  Austin Gregor JR 32:57
576  Michael Lederhouse SO 32:59
598  Silas Frantz SO 33:01
680  Amos Bartelsmeyer FR 33:08
1,051  Max Darrah SR 33:43
1,190  Ryan Manahan FR 33:55
1,538  Connor Sheryak FR 34:22
1,669  Nicholas Golebiowski FR 34:32
National Rank #17 of 311
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #2 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 91.5%
Most Likely Finish 15th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 1.9%
Top 10 at Nationals 15.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 65.1%


Regional Champion 22.5%
Top 5 in Regional 99.9%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jonathan Green Darren Fahy Scott Carpenter John Murray Ahmed Bile Ryan Gil Brian King Collin Leibold Stephen Kersh Matt Howard Austin Gregor
Coast-to-Coast Battle in Beantown 09/26 692 32:20 32:37 32:01 32:01 32:08 32:46
Lehigh Paul Short Run (Gold) 10/04 980 32:35 32:49 32:56
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue Race) 10/18 399 31:42 31:46 31:44 32:17 31:35 31:48 32:44
Big East Championships 10/31 448 31:28 31:32 31:42 32:21 32:07 32:10 32:26 32:42 32:43 32:29
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/14 637 31:55 31:54 32:03 32:31 32:17 33:15 32:26
NCAA Championship 11/22 520 31:54 31:50 32:27 31:45 32:13 31:57





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 91.5% 16.8 451 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.3 1.9 2.5 3.6 3.8 4.5 4.7 5.0 5.3 5.9 5.3 5.5 5.3 4.7 3.9 4.6 3.9 3.6 2.8 2.9 2.2 2.1 1.5 1.3 0.8 0.5
Region Championship 100% 2.0 62 22.5 57.3 15.0 4.3 0.8 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jonathan Green 94.5% 93.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1
Darren Fahy 93.4% 102.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Scott Carpenter 93.3% 110.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
John Murray 92.1% 134.6
Ahmed Bile 91.9% 135.8
Ryan Gil 91.6% 152.1
Brian King 91.6% 166.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jonathan Green 8.0 1.0 5.3 8.4 7.9 7.5 7.1 6.8 5.7 4.9 4.2 4.5 3.6 3.4 2.7 2.9 2.6 2.2 2.2 1.5 1.8 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.9
Darren Fahy 9.3 0.3 2.8 5.4 7.1 7.3 7.1 6.6 6.5 5.5 4.9 4.5 4.3 3.9 3.1 3.0 2.8 2.5 2.2 2.1 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.3 0.9 1.4
Scott Carpenter 10.5 0.2 1.8 3.9 5.8 5.4 5.9 6.8 6.4 5.6 6.1 4.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.6 2.9 2.8 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.2 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.2
John Murray 15.2 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.4 3.2 4.0 4.3 5.2 4.9 5.0 5.3 4.6 4.7 4.1 3.6 3.9 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.4 2.7 2.3 2.4 2.0
Ahmed Bile 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.5 2.6 3.8 4.3 4.7 5.2 4.8 4.8 5.6 4.5 4.5 4.1 3.7 3.4 3.3 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.1 1.9
Ryan Gil 19.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.4 1.8 3.1 3.3 3.8 4.0 4.6 4.5 4.8 4.5 4.1 3.7 3.9 4.2 3.3 3.3 2.6 2.5 2.6
Brian King 22.7 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.2 2.9 3.1 3.5 3.5 4.2 3.8 4.8 3.7 3.8 3.6 3.6 3.9 3.1 3.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 22.5% 100.0% 22.5 22.5 1
2 57.3% 100.0% 57.3 57.3 2
3 15.0% 65.4% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.5 3.3 5.2 9.8 3
4 4.3% 43.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 2.4 1.9 4
5 0.8% 0.8 5
6 0.1% 0.1 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 91.5% 22.5 57.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.8 3.7 8.5 79.8 11.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Providence 98.3% 1.0 1.0
Texas 91.6% 1.0 0.9
Mississippi 90.9% 1.0 0.9
Colorado St. 83.9% 1.0 0.8
Furman 65.6% 1.0 0.7
Tulsa 27.3% 1.0 0.3
North Carolina St. 11.6% 1.0 0.1
Penn State 6.9% 1.0 0.1
Eastern Michigan 1.8% 1.0 0.0
North Texas 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Texas-Arlington 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 0.3% 2.0 0.0
Iowa 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Yale 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 4.8
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 8.0