Gonzaga
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
184  Nick Roche SR 32:07
298  Troy Fraley SO 32:27
415  Kyle Branch JR 32:43
508  Colin O'Neil SR 32:52
651  Robert Walgren SR 33:06
811  Danny Lunder SO 33:21
859  Ian Goldizen SO 33:27
879  Braeden Van Deynze JR 33:28
1,131  Max Kaderabek FR 33:51
1,996  Conor McCandless SO 35:01
National Rank #65 of 311
West Region Rank #13 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.1%
Most Likely Finish 12th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.1%
Top 10 in Regional 32.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Nick Roche Troy Fraley Kyle Branch Colin O'Neil Robert Walgren Danny Lunder Ian Goldizen Braeden Van Deynze Max Kaderabek Conor McCandless
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/03 859 32:01 32:28 32:37 32:50 32:55 33:22 33:28
West Coast Conference Championships 11/01 921 32:12 32:43 32:44 33:06 33:06 32:58 33:44 33:50 35:00
West Region Championships 11/14 829 32:06 32:06 32:47 32:36 33:20 33:46 33:05





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.1% 26.3 629 0.0 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 11.3 329 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.5 5.6 10.1 13.8 18.3 20.3 16.4 9.4 2.2 0.3 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nick Roche 7.2% 112.1
Troy Fraley 0.1% 128.5
Kyle Branch 0.1% 171.5
Colin O'Neil 0.1% 205.5
Robert Walgren 0.1% 210.5
Danny Lunder 0.1% 221.5
Ian Goldizen 0.1% 241.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nick Roche 36.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.7 2.1 2.1 2.6
Troy Fraley 51.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Kyle Branch 65.9
Colin O'Neil 74.5
Robert Walgren 89.8
Danny Lunder 105.0
Ian Goldizen 110.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.0% 0.0 4
5 0.1% 75.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5
6 0.8% 0.8 6
7 2.5% 2.5 7
8 5.6% 5.6 8
9 10.1% 10.1 9
10 13.8% 13.8 10
11 18.3% 18.3 11
12 20.3% 20.3 12
13 16.4% 16.4 13
14 9.4% 9.4 14
15 2.2% 2.2 15
16 0.3% 0.3 16
17 0.0% 0.0 17
18 0.0% 0.0 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Eastern Michigan 1.8% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Penn 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0