Illinois
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
140  Jannis Topfer SR 31:57
169  Ian Barnett JR 32:04
208  Bryce Basting SR 32:12
406  Paul Zeman JR 32:41
471  Brendan McDonnell SR 32:48
472  Will Brewster SO 32:48
627  Liam Markham JR 33:04
764  Garrett Lee FR 33:16
1,186  Alex Gold FR 33:55
1,755  Ryan Burgoon SO 34:40
1,963  Alex Notten FR 34:58
National Rank #42 of 311
Midwest Region Rank #6 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 15.9%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 2.8%


Regional Champion 0.3%
Top 5 in Regional 57.0%
Top 10 in Regional 99.6%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jannis Topfer Ian Barnett Bryce Basting Paul Zeman Brendan McDonnell Will Brewster Liam Markham Garrett Lee Alex Gold Ryan Burgoon Alex Notten
Roy Griak Invitational 09/27 595 31:00 32:29 31:38 32:12 32:51 33:06 33:56
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/04 1129 33:05 33:10 33:19 33:35 34:47 34:33
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 806 32:09 31:54 32:37 32:46 32:58
Bradley Pink Classic (Red) 10/17 1142 33:00 33:03 33:31 34:25 34:57
Illini Open 10/24 34:12 34:42 35:19
Big Ten Conference Championship 11/02 720 32:04 32:05 32:12 32:41 32:21 32:47 32:59 32:54 34:21
Midwest Region Championships 11/14 740 32:07 31:59 32:13 32:59 32:46 32:34 35:00





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 15.9% 24.9 604 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.5
Region Championship 100% 5.1 167 0.3 7.3 12.3 16.6 20.6 24.2 10.7 4.6 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jannis Topfer 29.3% 96.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Ian Barnett 20.7% 114.8
Bryce Basting 17.2% 127.6
Paul Zeman 15.9% 199.5
Brendan McDonnell 15.9% 207.9
Will Brewster 15.9% 208.1
Liam Markham 15.9% 228.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jannis Topfer 13.7 0.0 0.4 0.7 1.6 3.1 3.9 5.1 5.9 5.7 6.3 5.3 5.0 4.3 4.1 3.7 3.3 3.2 2.8 2.7 2.2 2.3 2.3 1.7 1.8 1.5
Ian Barnett 17.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.7 2.6 3.4 4.3 5.2 4.6 4.6 5.4 4.3 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.1 3.0 2.4 2.2 2.4 1.9 2.1
Bryce Basting 22.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.7 3.3 4.1 3.7 3.5 3.1 3.7 3.4 3.2 3.1 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.9
Paul Zeman 51.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.9
Brendan McDonnell 57.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3
Will Brewster 58.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2
Liam Markham 76.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.3% 100.0% 0.3 0.3 1
2 7.3% 100.0% 7.3 7.3 2
3 12.3% 49.9% 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.1 2.1 0.3 6.1 6.1 3
4 16.6% 11.0% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.3 0.2 14.8 1.8 4
5 20.6% 1.6% 0.0 0.1 0.2 20.3 0.3 5
6 24.2% 0.2% 0.0 24.2 0.0 6
7 10.7% 10.7 7
8 4.6% 4.6 8
9 2.3% 2.3 9
10 0.9% 0.9 10
11 0.2% 0.2 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 0.0% 0.0 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 15.9% 0.3 7.3 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.3 3.5 0.7 84.1 7.6 8.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
North Carolina 70.4% 1.0 0.7
Minnesota 35.0% 1.0 0.4
Lamar 13.6% 1.0 0.1
Texas-Arlington 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Total 1.2
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 4.0