Indiana
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
60  Matthew Schwartzer JR 31:39
100  Evan Esselink SR 31:50
116  Jason Crist SO 31:52
293  Owen Skeete JR 32:26
303  JR Ricker SR 32:28
304  Rorey Hunter JR 32:28
372  Kyle DuVall FR 32:38
462  Kieran Reilly FR 32:48
620  Nolan Fife SR 33:03
897  Mark Chandler SO 33:30
954  Joshua Roche JR 33:35
1,088  Luke Miller FR 33:46
1,332  Eric Claxton FR 34:05
1,536  Tretez Kinnaird FR 34:22
National Rank #25 of 311
Great Lakes Region Rank #4 of 31
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 92.8%
Most Likely Finish 19th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.2%
Top 10 at Nationals 4.3%
Top 20 at Nationals 47.6%


Regional Champion 3.6%
Top 5 in Regional 98.7%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Matthew Schwartzer Evan Esselink Jason Crist Owen Skeete JR Ricker Rorey Hunter Kyle DuVall Kieran Reilly Nolan Fife Mark Chandler Joshua Roche
Washington Invitational 10/04 674 31:42 31:44 32:31 32:59 32:23 32:43 32:46 33:36 32:59
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 547 31:43 31:46 31:52 32:08 32:29 32:21 32:51
ISU Pre-National Invitational (White Race) 10/18 1051 33:18 32:28 33:23 34:21
Big Ten Conference Championship 11/02 512 31:38 31:52 31:35 32:22 32:26 32:03 32:47 32:42 34:03
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/14 666 31:58 31:52 32:02 32:44 32:21 33:42 32:57
NCAA Championship 11/22 491 31:19 32:02 31:34 32:12 32:10 32:23 33:53





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 92.8% 20.3 513 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 0.9 1.5 2.0 3.0 3.4 3.4 4.5 4.5 5.8 5.3 5.8 5.8 4.9 5.2 5.6 5.1 5.3 4.0 4.1 3.3 3.4 2.8 1.5
Region Championship 100% 3.5 107 3.6 13.8 29.8 38.8 12.7 1.1 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matthew Schwartzer 97.3% 64.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.6 1.0 0.8
Evan Esselink 93.8% 94.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Jason Crist 93.7% 100.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Owen Skeete 92.8% 184.7
JR Ricker 92.8% 189.3
Rorey Hunter 92.8% 189.4
Kyle DuVall 92.8% 207.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matthew Schwartzer 8.4 0.5 2.0 4.1 7.1 8.3 9.1 8.7 7.5 6.7 5.2 4.4 4.0 3.0 3.3 2.5 2.7 2.2 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.5 0.8 1.0 0.9
Evan Esselink 13.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.6 3.0 4.9 5.7 5.9 5.8 5.5 5.1 4.9 5.2 4.2 3.7 3.8 3.2 3.5 3.5 2.8 2.5 2.3 1.6 1.8 1.8
Jason Crist 14.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.3 4.1 5.4 4.9 5.1 5.4 5.9 5.1 4.7 4.4 4.2 3.7 3.8 3.1 3.1 3.2 2.7 2.3 2.5 1.7 2.1
Owen Skeete 33.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.0 2.4 2.5 3.0
JR Ricker 35.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.8 2.8
Rorey Hunter 35.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.7 1.0 1.1 2.1 1.8 2.5 2.6 2.5
Kyle DuVall 42.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 3.6% 100.0% 3.6 3.6 1
2 13.8% 100.0% 13.8 13.8 2
3 29.8% 97.4% 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.0 1.1 1.6 3.2 3.9 4.9 4.8 3.9 2.8 1.1 0.8 29.0 3
4 38.8% 93.0% 0.2 0.1 0.2 2.7 1.9 2.5 5.6 5.6 6.8 4.7 3.7 2.1 2.7 36.1 4
5 12.7% 80.7% 0.1 0.0 1.0 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.6 2.1 1.1 1.3 2.5 10.3 5
6 1.1% 1.1 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
Total 100% 92.8% 3.6 13.8 0.5 0.4 0.4 1.2 3.8 4.4 6.3 10.3 12.0 13.3 10.7 7.6 4.5 7.2 17.4 75.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Arkansas 98.4% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 90.5% 2.0 1.8
North Carolina 70.4% 1.0 0.7
Oklahoma 58.7% 1.0 0.6
Iowa State 42.0% 1.0 0.4
Minnesota 35.0% 2.0 0.7
Eastern Kentucky 22.6% 1.0 0.2
Princeton 14.7% 1.0 0.1
Lamar 13.6% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 7.6% 2.0 0.2
Iowa 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 5.9
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 13.0