Louisville
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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RankNameGradeRating
29  Edwin Kibichiy SO 31:21
35  Ernest Kibet JR 31:26
324  Japhet Kipkoech JR 32:31
854  Jonathan Reynolds SO 33:26
999  Daniel Southard FR 33:39
1,041  Kyle Covert JR 33:43
1,287  Chirs Striegel FR 34:02
1,359  Andrew Stewart JR 34:07
1,383  Nick Reader FR 34:08
1,435  Matt Stephenson SO 34:13
1,639  Thomas Cave SO 34:30
National Rank #39 of 311
Southeast Region Rank #6 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 1.4%
Top 10 in Regional 98.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Edwin Kibichiy Ernest Kibet Japhet Kipkoech Jonathan Reynolds Daniel Southard Kyle Covert Chirs Striegel Andrew Stewart Nick Reader Matt Stephenson Thomas Cave
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/04 765 31:38 31:37 32:27 33:35 33:41 33:34 33:45 35:15 33:52 33:54 33:46
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue Race) 10/18 703 31:16 31:37 32:23 33:17 33:06 34:21 34:29
ACC Championships 10/31 740 31:19 31:13 32:57 33:32 33:54 33:23 34:19 33:50 34:24 35:17
Southeast Region Championships 11/14 731 31:29 31:32 32:23 33:19 33:52 34:01 33:48
NCAA Championship 11/22 31:04 31:10





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0% 21.0 570 0.0
Region Championship 100% 7.5 238 0.0 0.2 1.2 10.3 42.7 31.2 10.8 2.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Edwin Kibichiy 98.7% 32.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.5 1.6 2.0 2.0 1.6 1.9 2.4 1.9 2.2 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.0 1.8 2.0 1.7 1.8 1.3 1.8
Ernest Kibet 97.1% 40.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.1 1.4 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.2 1.5 2.1 1.5 1.7 1.6
Japhet Kipkoech 0.4% 166.0
Jonathan Reynolds 0.0% 240.5
Daniel Southard 0.0% 233.5
Kyle Covert 0.0% 232.5
Chirs Striegel 0.0% 251.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Edwin Kibichiy 2.2 24.7 22.4 13.4 9.3 5.8 4.6 3.0 2.5 2.5 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2
Ernest Kibet 2.9 13.9 21.1 16.1 10.3 7.5 5.1 3.4 3.5 2.8 2.4 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2
Japhet Kipkoech 34.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.5 2.0 2.2 2.7 2.4 2.6 2.6 3.0
Jonathan Reynolds 91.0
Daniel Southard 105.2
Kyle Covert 109.6
Chirs Striegel 131.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 3
4 0.2% 0.2 4
5 1.2% 1.2 5
6 10.3% 10.3 6
7 42.7% 42.7 7
8 31.2% 31.2 8
9 10.8% 10.8 9
10 2.5% 2.5 10
11 0.9% 0.9 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 0.0% 0.0 13
14 0.0% 0.0 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
North Texas 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Texas-Arlington 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0