Montana State
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
130  Jake Turner JR 31:55
434  Michael Asay SR 32:45
1,061  Matthew Gotta FR 33:44
1,419  Ethan Wilhelm SO 34:12
1,506  Daniel Nicolls SR 34:19
1,686  Zachary Kughn JR 34:33
1,964  Matthew Tex SR 34:58
National Rank #84 of 311
Mountain Region Rank #11 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 13th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 3.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jake Turner Michael Asay Matthew Gotta Ethan Wilhelm Daniel Nicolls Zachary Kughn Matthew Tex
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue Race) 10/18 1080 32:26 32:55 33:22 34:19 34:30 35:20
Big Sky Conference Championships 11/01 1019 31:57 32:47 34:19 34:24 34:19 33:54 34:37
Mountain Region Championships 11/14 954 31:26 32:32 33:39 33:47 35:31
NCAA Championship 11/22 31:51





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 12.3 344 0.1 3.8 15.5 30.1 47.5 2.7 0.3



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jake Turner 38.0% 95.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jake Turner 24.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.6 1.3 1.5 2.1 2.7 3.0 3.0 3.3 3.6 4.0 3.5 3.7 3.7 4.3 3.3 3.4 3.7
Michael Asay 49.8 0.0
Matthew Gotta 79.8
Ethan Wilhelm 91.7
Daniel Nicolls 94.5
Zachary Kughn 99.2
Matthew Tex 105.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 3.8% 3.8 10
11 15.5% 15.5 11
12 30.1% 30.1 12
13 47.5% 47.5 13
14 2.7% 2.7 14
15 0.3% 0.3 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0