Montana
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,149  Nathan Wellington FR 33:52
1,306  Mark Messmer JR 34:03
1,617  Ben Williamson SR 34:28
1,791  Adam Wollant SO 34:42
2,136  David Norris JR 35:13
2,662  Micah Drew SO 36:21
National Rank #203 of 311
Mountain Region Rank #16 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 16th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Nathan Wellington Mark Messmer Ben Williamson Adam Wollant David Norris Micah Drew
Big Sky Conference Championships 11/01 1203 34:00 33:56 34:06 34:15 34:32 36:21
Mountain Region Championships 11/14 1266 33:44 34:12 34:55 35:15 36:04





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 16.4 484 0.4 3.2 56.9 39.4



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nathan Wellington 83.8
Mark Messmer 88.2
Ben Williamson 97.7
Adam Wollant 101.8
David Norris 109.2
Micah Drew 117.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 0.4% 0.4 14
15 3.2% 3.2 15
16 56.9% 56.9 16
17 39.4% 39.4 17
18 18
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0