New Mexico
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
53  Adam Bitchell SR 31:33
77  Jake Shelley SR 31:44
110  Ross Matheson SR 31:52
112  Daniel Studley JR 31:52
153  Elmar Engholm JR 32:01
204  Todd Wakefield SR 32:10
221  Alex Cornwell SR 32:14
279  Matthew Bergin JR 32:25
412  Graham Thomas SO 32:42
624  Donovan Torres JR 33:03
899  JP Cordova SR 33:30
National Rank #11 of 311
Mountain Region Rank #3 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 98.5%
Most Likely Finish 17th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 2.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 17.5%
Top 20 at Nationals 72.7%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 90.2%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Adam Bitchell Jake Shelley Ross Matheson Daniel Studley Elmar Engholm Todd Wakefield Alex Cornwell Matthew Bergin Graham Thomas Donovan Torres JP Cordova
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/03 468 31:32 32:36 31:45 31:55 31:42 32:42 32:17 32:55 33:16
Mountain West Championships 10/03 451 31:43 31:50 31:54 32:16 32:34 31:44 31:51 32:54 33:44
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 483 31:33 31:55 32:04 31:38 32:06 32:16 32:54
Mountain Region Championships 11/14 598 32:11 31:42 31:49 32:03 33:25 32:33 33:15
NCAA Championship 11/22 464 31:24 32:01 32:10 31:40 31:49 32:32





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 98.5% 16.4 444 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.8 2.3 3.1 4.0 4.4 4.8 5.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 5.8 6.3 5.3 5.0 4.5 4.2 4.4 3.2 3.1 2.8 2.5 1.8 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.5
Region Championship 100% 4.1 125 0.0 6.5 22.6 41.9 19.1 8.3 1.2 0.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jake Shelley 98.7% 80.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4
Ross Matheson 98.5% 99.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1
Daniel Studley 98.5% 100.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Elmar Engholm 98.5% 123.1 0.0
Todd Wakefield 98.5% 147.8
Alex Cornwell 98.5% 157.2
Matthew Bergin 98.5% 184.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jake Shelley 18.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.6 3.5 3.5 4.8 4.5 5.1 5.0 4.5 4.4 4.2 4.4 4.1 3.3 3.7 2.4 2.9 2.9 2.4
Ross Matheson 22.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.0 1.6 2.2 2.9 3.3 3.3 3.5 4.3 4.3 4.7 4.2 3.6 3.9 4.0 3.5 3.9 3.2
Daniel Studley 22.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 2.0 2.2 2.4 3.5 3.2 4.1 4.0 4.1 4.1 3.8 4.3 3.4 3.3 3.9 4.1 3.2
Elmar Engholm 27.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.7 2.1 2.6 2.7 2.5 3.5 3.5 3.7 3.6 3.9 3.9 3.3
Todd Wakefield 32.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.7 1.9 2.2 3.1 3.2 3.2
Alex Cornwell 35.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.3 0.9 1.6 2.0 2.0 2.7
Matthew Bergin 40.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 6.5% 100.0% 6.5 6.5 2
3 22.6% 100.0% 0.7 1.0 0.8 3.0 4.9 5.3 3.5 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 22.6 3
4 41.9% 100.0% 1.1 1.6 1.4 5.0 10.3 9.6 7.2 3.4 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 41.9 4
5 19.1% 99.7% 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.2 2.6 3.1 3.3 2.9 2.5 1.5 1.3 0.1 19.0 5
6 8.3% 92.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.9 1.7 1.2 0.7 0.7 7.6 6
7 1.2% 65.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 7
8 0.3% 0.3 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
Total 100% 98.5% 0.0 6.5 0.7 2.0 2.6 4.7 10.1 17.0 15.8 13.1 8.8 6.8 4.9 3.1 2.2 1.5 6.6 91.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Florida State 99.9% 1.0 1.0
BYU 99.0% 1.0 1.0
Arkansas 98.4% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 90.5% 1.0 0.9
Colorado St. 83.9% 2.0 1.7
Indiana 83.4% 1.0 0.8
Southern Utah 79.0% 1.0 0.8
North Carolina 70.4% 1.0 0.7
Oklahoma 58.7% 1.0 0.6
Iowa State 42.0% 1.0 0.4
Minnesota 35.0% 1.0 0.4
Tulsa 27.3% 1.0 0.3
Eastern Kentucky 22.6% 2.0 0.5
Princeton 14.7% 2.0 0.3
Lamar 13.6% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 11.6% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 7.6% 1.0 0.1
Penn State 6.9% 1.0 0.1
Eastern Michigan 1.8% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Penn 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 10.7
Minimum 5.0
Maximum 18.0