Princeton
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
136  Sam Pons SR 31:56
183  Matt McDonald SR 32:06
188  Michael Sublette JR 32:07
295  William Bertrand SO 32:26
345  William Paulson SO 32:34
347  Eddie Owens SR 32:34
350  Mike Mazzaccaro SR 32:35
389  Sam Berger JR 32:40
446  Wolfgang Beck FR 32:46
503  Jack Leahey SO 32:51
631  Noah Kauppila FR 33:04
808  Brett Kelly JR 33:21
942  Garrett O'Toole FR 33:33
950  Bradley Paternostro SR 33:35
1,279  Joshua Ingalls FR 34:02
1,380  Charles Stahl FR 34:08
1,729  Kenan Farmer FR 34:37
2,407  Robert Stone FR 35:46
2,510  Stephen Rossettie SO 36:00
2,812  Zachary Albright FR 36:51
National Rank #36 of 311
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #3 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 16.3%
Most Likely Finish 3rd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.5%
Top 20 at Nationals 6.7%


Regional Champion 1.8%
Top 5 in Regional 96.5%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Sam Pons Matt McDonald Michael Sublette William Bertrand William Paulson Eddie Owens Mike Mazzaccaro Sam Berger Wolfgang Beck Jack Leahey Noah Kauppila
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/03 709 31:36 32:28 32:11 32:49 32:24 32:41 32:57 32:41
Lehigh Paul Short Run (Brown) 10/04 1058 32:50 32:40 34:48
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 736 32:24 31:43 32:35 32:17 33:03 32:32 33:08
Princeton Invitational 10/18 1125 33:19 32:48
Ivy League Heptagonal Championships 11/01 593 31:53 32:06 31:50 32:32 32:36 32:04 32:44 32:19 32:34 32:49 32:40
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/14 660 31:57 32:11 31:57 32:21 32:23 32:33 34:10





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 16.3% 21.4 533 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.3
Region Championship 100% 3.5 102 1.8 12.9 40.2 27.1 14.5 3.5 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Pons 53.3% 102.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Matt McDonald 32.6% 122.8 0.0
Michael Sublette 32.6% 125.7
William Bertrand 16.9% 166.5
William Paulson 16.4% 183.0
Eddie Owens 16.4% 186.3
Mike Mazzaccaro 16.4% 185.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Pons 10.6 0.6 2.2 4.6 5.5 6.0 6.2 5.9 5.4 6.0 4.7 5.3 4.5 4.1 3.7 3.2 3.4 2.4 2.7 2.1 2.1 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.7 1.2
Matt McDonald 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 1.7 2.3 3.6 4.4 4.7 4.8 5.0 5.1 4.6 4.6 4.4 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.3 2.6 3.2 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.3
Michael Sublette 16.1 0.2 0.7 1.2 2.1 3.0 3.3 3.5 4.0 4.9 4.4 4.8 4.7 4.3 4.2 4.2 3.8 3.2 3.4 3.3 3.1 2.8 2.7 2.2 2.1
William Bertrand 27.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.9 2.0 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.5 3.4 3.0 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.5
William Paulson 32.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.8 1.7 2.3 2.1 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.2
Eddie Owens 32.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.9 1.6 2.5 2.3 2.6 2.7 3.5 3.3
Mike Mazzaccaro 32.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.4 2.3 2.1 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.9 3.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1.8% 100.0% 1.8 1.8 1
2 12.9% 100.0% 12.9 12.9 2
3 40.2% 3.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 38.6 1.6 3
4 27.1% 0.2% 0.0 0.0 27.0 0.1 4
5 14.5% 14.5 5
6 3.5% 3.5 6
7 0.0% 0.0 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 16.3% 1.8 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.4 83.7 14.7 1.6




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Tulsa 27.3% 1.0 0.3
Lamar 13.6% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 11.6% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 7.6% 1.0 0.1
Penn State 6.9% 1.0 0.1
Eastern Michigan 1.8% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Penn 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Yale 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Bradley 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.7
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 4.0