Providence
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
32  Shane Quinn SR 31:24
41  Benjamin Connor SR 31:28
141  Brian Doyle SR 31:57
178  Julian Oakley SO 32:05
265  Harvey Dixon JR 32:23
348  Aaron Hanlon FR 32:34
404  Liam Hillery SR 32:41
490  Trevor Crawley SO 32:50
556  Hugh Armstrong SO 32:56
739  Stephen Robertson JR 33:14
941  Christian Costello JR 33:33
972  Tom O'Neill FR 33:37
1,126  Jake Feinstein SO 33:50
1,388  Jonathan Estrada SO 34:09
1,460  Brendan Sullivan 34:15
1,868  Joseph Vercollone 34:49
2,072  Brendan Ungemach Fr 35:08
National Rank #16 of 311
Northeast Region Rank #3 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 98.4%
Most Likely Finish 15th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 1.8%
Top 10 at Nationals 17.9%
Top 20 at Nationals 78.4%


Regional Champion 3.2%
Top 5 in Regional 99.7%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Shane Quinn Benjamin Connor Brian Doyle Julian Oakley Harvey Dixon Aaron Hanlon Liam Hillery Trevor Crawley Hugh Armstrong Stephen Robertson Christian Costello
Coast-to-Coast Battle in Beantown 09/26 603 31:50 32:08 31:39 32:11 32:34 32:33 33:00 33:09 33:13 33:33
NEICAAA Championship 10/11 1026 32:36 33:14 32:50 33:06 33:18
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 469 31:12 31:33 31:49 31:51 32:42 32:50
CCSU Mini Meet 10/24 1156 33:04 33:24 33:50
Big East Championships 10/31 575 31:40 31:38 32:16 32:04 32:25 32:31 32:42 32:27 32:35
Northeast Region Championships 11/14 538 31:49 31:47 31:51 32:01 32:37 32:19 33:15
NCAA Championship 11/22 467 31:04 31:08 32:16 32:04 32:15 33:18 32:29





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 98.4% 15.8 432 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.7 2.5 3.1 4.1 4.6 5.7 6.3 6.4 6.8 6.9 6.2 5.8 6.0 5.4 4.9 4.2 3.5 3.0 2.4 1.7 1.8 1.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2
Region Championship 100% 2.8 76 3.2 23.6 66.5 5.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shane Quinn 99.8% 36.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.7 2.1 2.0 1.7 1.5
Benjamin Connor 99.8% 43.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.6 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.0 1.5 1.3 1.7 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.4
Brian Doyle 98.5% 112.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Julian Oakley 98.5% 136.5
Harvey Dixon 98.4% 179.9
Aaron Hanlon 98.4% 202.3
Liam Hillery 98.4% 212.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shane Quinn 3.7 18.6 13.7 11.9 8.7 7.5 5.6 5.2 4.4 4.0 3.4 2.9 2.5 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2
Benjamin Connor 4.6 11.1 13.0 11.1 10.1 8.0 6.5 5.6 4.7 4.4 3.9 3.4 3.4 2.5 2.3 1.6 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2
Brian Doyle 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.9 2.8 3.6 4.5 4.6 5.5 6.2 6.4 5.8 6.0 5.2 4.6 4.3 3.5 3.4 3.0 2.8 2.3 2.3 2.0 1.6
Julian Oakley 17.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.9 2.9 3.2 4.3 4.7 5.2 5.5 6.0 5.7 4.8 4.6 4.2 4.0 3.3 3.3 2.8 2.9 2.1
Harvey Dixon 27.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.9 2.3 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.9 3.9 4.2 3.9 4.2 3.7
Aaron Hanlon 36.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.0 2.3 3.0
Liam Hillery 42.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 3.2% 100.0% 3.2 3.2 1
2 23.6% 100.0% 23.6 23.6 2
3 66.5% 99.8% 0.0 0.5 2.0 5.8 11.1 16.7 15.0 7.4 4.4 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 66.4 3
4 5.2% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 5.2 4
5 1.2% 8.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 0.1 5
6 0.2% 0.2 6
7 0.0% 0.0 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 98.4% 3.2 23.6 0.0 0.6 2.0 6.0 11.8 17.7 16.2 8.2 5.0 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.2 1.6 26.8 71.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
BYU 99.0% 1.0 1.0
Arkansas 98.4% 1.0 1.0
New Mexico 96.3% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 90.5% 1.0 0.9
Georgetown 87.8% 1.0 0.9
Indiana 83.4% 1.0 0.8
North Carolina 70.4% 1.0 0.7
Oklahoma 58.7% 1.0 0.6
Iowa State 42.0% 1.0 0.4
Minnesota 35.0% 1.0 0.4
Eastern Kentucky 22.6% 1.0 0.2
Princeton 14.7% 1.0 0.1
Lamar 13.6% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 7.6% 1.0 0.1
Cornell 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 8.2
Minimum 4.0
Maximum 13.0