Southern Illinois
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
217  Oscar Medina JR 32:13
262  Juan Carrera JR 32:22
288  Michael Castel SR 32:26
835  Brandon Shemonia SO 33:24
1,007  Nick Schrader SR 33:40
1,029  Evan Ehrenheim JR 33:42
1,104  Matt Hazel SR 33:48
2,231  Jonathon Vara FR 35:24
2,425  Cole Allison SR 35:48
National Rank #68 of 311
Midwest Region Rank #10 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 10th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.2%
Top 10 in Regional 56.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Oscar Medina Juan Carrera Michael Castel Brandon Shemonia Nick Schrader Evan Ehrenheim Matt Hazel Jonathon Vara Cole Allison
Notre Dame Invitational (Gold) 10/03 868 32:13 32:10 32:08 34:20 33:39 33:55 35:24 36:02
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue Race) 10/18 923 31:57 32:28 32:50 33:14 34:05 34:20
Missouri Valley Championships 11/01 890 32:19 32:19 32:17 33:08 34:20 33:35 33:29 35:35
Midwest Region Championships 11/14 941 32:21 32:30 32:30 33:11 33:34 33:31 33:35





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 10.3 309 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.6 12.1 17.0 21.7 18.7 11.3 6.5 3.8 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Oscar Medina 3.7% 121.5
Juan Carrera 0.5% 116.5
Michael Castel 0.2% 170.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Oscar Medina 23.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.8 1.8 2.2 2.7 3.7 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.7 3.3 2.7 3.4 3.0 3.0 3.1 2.5
Juan Carrera 30.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.6 3.2 2.8 3.0 3.1
Michael Castel 33.9 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.9 1.6 2.1 2.3 2.8 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7
Brandon Shemonia 99.3
Nick Schrader 115.6
Evan Ehrenheim 117.7
Matt Hazel 123.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.0% 0.0 4
5 0.1% 0.1 5
6 1.0% 1.0 6
7 4.6% 4.6 7
8 12.1% 12.1 8
9 17.0% 17.0 9
10 21.7% 21.7 10
11 18.7% 18.7 11
12 11.3% 11.3 12
13 6.5% 6.5 13
14 3.8% 3.8 14
15 1.7% 1.7 15
16 0.8% 0.8 16
17 0.3% 0.3 17
18 0.2% 0.2 18
19 0.0% 0.0 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Bradley 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0