Stanford
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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RankNameGradeRating
5  Maxim Korolev SR 31:03
9  Joe Rosa JR 31:08
22  Sean McGorty SO 31:16
39  Michael Atchoo SR 31:26
54  Sam Wharton FR 31:35
72  Garrett Sweatt SO 31:43
145  Jack Keelan FR 31:58
272  Cameron Miller SO 32:24
423  Jack Bordoni SO 32:44
448  Kevin Bishop SO 32:46
564  Patrick Gibson FR 32:58
634  Thomas Coyle FR 33:05
733  Marco Bertolotti SR 33:14
883  Ryan Silva FR 33:29
1,437  Will Drinkwater SO 34:13
1,643  Adam Thorne SO 34:30
National Rank #2 of 311
West Region Rank #1 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 2nd at Nationals


National Champion 16.5%
Top 5 at Nationals 89.5%
Top 10 at Nationals 98.8%
Top 20 at Nationals 100.0%


Regional Champion 62.4%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Maxim Korolev Joe Rosa Sean McGorty Michael Atchoo Sam Wharton Garrett Sweatt Jack Keelan Cameron Miller Jack Bordoni Kevin Bishop Patrick Gibson
Stanford Invitational 09/27 657 31:10 31:09 32:36 32:48
Washington Invitational 10/04 477 31:45 32:02 31:33 31:40 32:14 33:22
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 352 30:55 31:12 31:56 32:19 31:47 32:17 31:55
Bronco Invitational 10/18 932 32:38 32:46 32:38
Pac-12 Championships 10/31 266 31:21 30:56 31:30 31:37 31:52 31:46 31:52 32:35 32:54
West Region Championships 11/14 421 31:20 31:29 31:48 32:08 31:56 32:19 32:39
NCAA Championship 11/22 138 30:48 31:10 31:01 31:06 31:15 31:35 31:51





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 3.0 142 16.5 38.1 19.6 9.8 5.6 3.7 2.3 1.7 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 1.5 50 62.4 23.9 11.8 1.7 0.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maxim Korolev 100% 11.5 5.1 5.9 6.1 5.4 4.8 4.4 4.0 3.7 3.4 3.1 3.0 2.6 2.4 2.3 2.1 1.6 2.1 1.7 1.2 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.1 1.4 1.2
Joe Rosa 100% 15.9 1.9 3.1 3.8 4.2 4.6 4.1 3.6 3.0 3.4 3.2 3.4 2.7 2.8 2.6 1.8 2.2 2.2 2.1 1.8 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.5
Sean McGorty 100% 24.5 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.3 2.6 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.3 2.4 2.7 2.0 2.3 2.3 2.1 1.8 2.2 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.7
Michael Atchoo 100% 40.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.9 1.4 1.3 1.6 2.2 1.6 1.8 1.7 1.9 1.6 1.5
Sam Wharton 100% 56.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.1 1.1
Garrett Sweatt 100% 76.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Jack Keelan 100% 117.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maxim Korolev 3.3 14.0 17.3 15.3 10.9 7.4 5.7 4.6 3.3 3.6 2.5 2.1 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.1 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4
Joe Rosa 4.6 6.5 12.6 14.3 11.3 9.5 7.5 5.7 4.2 3.5 2.7 2.5 2.2 2.0 1.7 1.6 1.1 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5
Sean McGorty 6.7 1.9 5.2 9.3 10.7 10.0 7.8 7.2 6.5 4.9 4.1 3.1 2.8 2.4 2.3 1.8 2.0 1.7 1.3 1.6 1.1 0.9 1.2 1.0 1.1 0.7
Michael Atchoo 10.6 0.1 0.7 2.3 4.9 6.4 7.5 7.5 6.7 5.8 5.1 4.5 3.9 3.3 2.8 3.0 2.6 2.6 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.3 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.4
Sam Wharton 15.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.6 3.2 4.7 4.9 5.1 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.4 4.1 3.7 3.3 3.2 2.9 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.6 1.9 1.7
Garrett Sweatt 20.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 1.6 2.6 3.3 3.6 3.8 3.6 3.8 4.1 4.2 3.3 3.4 3.9 3.5 3.2 3.3 3.2 2.3 2.8 2.5
Jack Keelan 31.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.8 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.6 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 62.4% 100.0% 62.4 62.4 1
2 23.9% 100.0% 23.9 23.9 2
3 11.8% 100.0% 6.7 3.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 11.8 3
4 1.7% 100.0% 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 4
5 0.2% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 5
6 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 100.0% 62.4 23.9 6.7 4.3 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 86.3 13.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Florida State 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Northern Arizona 99.8% 1.0 1.0
Michigan 99.3% 1.0 1.0
BYU 99.0% 1.0 1.0
Arkansas 98.4% 1.0 1.0
Providence 98.3% 1.0 1.0
UCLA 97.9% 2.0 2.0
Villanova 96.6% 1.0 1.0
Washington 96.4% 3.0 2.9
New Mexico 96.3% 1.0 1.0
Virginia 90.9% 1.0 0.9
Michigan State 90.5% 1.0 0.9
Indiana 83.4% 2.0 1.7
North Carolina 70.4% 1.0 0.7
Oklahoma 58.7% 2.0 1.2
Iowa State 42.0% 1.0 0.4
Minnesota 35.0% 1.0 0.4
Eastern Kentucky 22.6% 1.0 0.2
Princeton 14.7% 1.0 0.1
Lamar 13.6% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 7.6% 1.0 0.1
Texas A&M 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 19.4
Minimum 12.0
Maximum 24.0