Texas-Arlington
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
302  Craig Lautenslager JR 32:28
339  Eric Ojeda JR 32:34
579  Michael Guerrero FR 32:59
583  Ryan Tilotta SR 33:00
976  Virgilio Martinez JR 33:37
978  Grant Copeland SO 33:37
2,242  Robert Gribble SR 35:26
2,661  Emil Blomberg SR 36:21
National Rank #82 of 311
South Central Region Rank #5 of 35
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.4%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 64.7%
Top 10 in Regional 99.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Craig Lautenslager Eric Ojeda Michael Guerrero Ryan Tilotta Virgilio Martinez Grant Copeland Robert Gribble Emil Blomberg
Roy Griak Invitational 09/27 1041 32:17 33:01 33:21 33:29 33:50 36:01
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue Race) 10/18 933 32:36 32:17 32:55 32:46 33:42 33:09 35:10
Sun Belt Conference Championships 11/02 1007 32:35 32:36 32:57 32:43 35:22 36:20
South Region Championships 11/14 969 32:22 32:29 32:51 33:12 33:31 33:54





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.4% 30.5 817 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3
Region Championship 100% 5.1 158 0.0 0.4 7.5 26.0 30.7 20.9 10.6 3.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Craig Lautenslager 24.3% 177.5
Eric Ojeda 14.2% 183.6
Michael Guerrero 0.5% 216.0
Ryan Tilotta 0.5% 207.0
Virgilio Martinez 0.4% 243.5
Grant Copeland 0.4% 244.5
Robert Gribble 0.4% 252.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Craig Lautenslager 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 3.5 4.7 6.0 6.2 5.9 6.1 5.3 4.8 4.9 4.6 3.7 3.9 3.2 2.7 2.7 2.5 2.4 2.2 1.9 1.9
Eric Ojeda 16.6 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.8 3.0 3.5 4.3 5.4 4.8 5.2 5.2 5.1 4.3 4.1 3.9 3.5 3.8 3.2 3.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.4
Michael Guerrero 31.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.5 2.8 2.8 2.7 3.5 3.5
Ryan Tilotta 31.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.4 2.1 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.7 3.5
Virgilio Martinez 57.9
Grant Copeland 57.6
Robert Gribble 143.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 0.4% 100.0% 0.4 0.4 2
3 7.5% 0.3% 0.0 7.5 0.0 3
4 26.0% 26.0 4
5 30.7% 30.7 5
6 20.9% 20.9 6
7 10.6% 10.6 7
8 3.1% 3.1 8
9 0.5% 0.5 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 0.1% 0.1 11
12 0.0% 0.0 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
Total 100% 0.4% 0.0 0.4 0.0 99.6 0.4 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
North Texas 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0