Texas
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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RankNameGradeRating
30  Craig Lutz SR 31:21
146  Mark Pinales SR 31:58
322  Jacob Pickle FR 32:31
346  Eduardo Rodriguez SR 32:34
411  Will Nation SR 32:42
428  Brady Turnbull JR 32:45
479  Robert Uhr FR 32:49
584  Connor Hendrickson FR 33:00
1,244  Zach Hamstra FR 33:59
National Rank #33 of 311
South Central Region Rank #2 of 35
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 91.8%
Most Likely Finish 27th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 11.7%


Regional Champion 40.5%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Craig Lutz Mark Pinales Jacob Pickle Eduardo Rodriguez Will Nation Brady Turnbull Robert Uhr Connor Hendrickson Zach Hamstra
Roy Griak Invitational 09/27 539 30:49 31:21 31:59 32:59 32:38 32:47 34:14
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue Race) 10/18 622 31:22 31:38 32:21 33:00 32:41 32:29
Big 12 Championship 11/01 770 31:46 32:27 32:41 32:22 33:23 32:39 32:59 33:04 33:50
South Region Championships 11/14 619 31:15 32:07 32:21 32:15 32:22 32:55 33:07
NCAA Championship 11/22 715 31:25 32:13 33:40 32:29 32:31 32:48 33:20





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 91.8% 25.5 612 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.6 1.7 2.3 2.7 4.0 4.0 5.0 6.6 7.1 8.4 9.8 9.5 9.7 8.6 7.4
Region Championship 100% 1.7 60 40.5 51.0 8.0 0.4 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Craig Lutz 100.0% 31.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.7 1.1 1.0 1.4 1.6 1.4 1.7 1.6 1.7 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.5 2.1 2.4 2.0 2.1 1.7 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.8
Mark Pinales 96.0% 116.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Jacob Pickle 91.9% 193.5
Eduardo Rodriguez 91.9% 199.0
Will Nation 91.8% 212.1
Brady Turnbull 91.8% 216.8
Robert Uhr 91.8% 223.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Craig Lutz 1.5 22.8 56.6 10.4 3.7 2.1 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
Mark Pinales 4.8 0.2 3.2 16.8 18.7 13.6 9.9 6.4 5.7 4.1 3.6 2.8 2.1 1.6 1.7 1.7 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.3
Jacob Pickle 15.4 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.3 3.7 4.0 5.0 5.6 5.9 5.6 5.0 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.3 3.2 3.5 2.9 3.1 2.8 2.6 2.2 2.2
Eduardo Rodriguez 16.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.4 3.4 4.5 4.8 4.5 5.5 5.2 4.9 4.5 5.0 4.1 3.6 3.5 3.0 3.1 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.4
Will Nation 20.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.4 1.4 2.2 3.1 3.4 4.4 3.8 4.5 4.2 4.5 4.0 4.2 4.5 3.9 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.1
Brady Turnbull 22.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.2 2.3 2.9 3.0 3.6 3.8 4.1 4.3 4.8 4.4 4.3 3.9 3.2 3.6 3.6 3.2
Robert Uhr 25.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.7 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.3 3.8 3.7 4.2 4.0 3.7 3.7 3.3 3.7 3.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 40.5% 100.0% 40.5 40.5 1
2 51.0% 100.0% 51.0 51.0 2
3 8.0% 4.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 7.7 0.3 3
4 0.4% 0.4 4
5 0.1% 0.1 5
6 0.0% 0.0 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
Total 100% 91.8% 40.5 51.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 8.2 91.5 0.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Mississippi 90.9% 1.0 0.9
North Carolina 70.4% 1.0 0.7
North Carolina St. 11.6% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 7.6% 1.0 0.1
Penn State 6.9% 1.0 0.1
Eastern Michigan 1.8% 1.0 0.0
North Texas 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Texas-Arlington 0.4% 2.0 0.0
Cornell 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 2.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Yale 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.9
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 5.0