Toledo
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
902  Jake Kasperski SR 33:30
1,179  Adam Smercina SR 33:54
1,516  Adam Bess JR 34:20
1,712  Louis Guardiola FR 34:35
2,038  Matt Leis SO 35:05
2,048  Thomas Gibbons JR 35:05
2,401  Clinton Caddell FR 35:46
2,554  Chris Housel SO 36:05
2,734  Jax Talbot FR 36:36
National Rank #194 of 311
Great Lakes Region Rank #25 of 31
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 25th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 2.2%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Jake Kasperski Adam Smercina Adam Bess Louis Guardiola Matt Leis Thomas Gibbons Clinton Caddell Chris Housel Jax Talbot
Notre Dame Invitational (Gold) 10/03 1203 33:19 33:49 34:26 34:32 34:50 35:49 36:42
ISU Pre-National Invitational (White Race) 10/18 1213 33:13 34:00 34:30 34:20 36:36 35:40 36:23
MAC Championship 11/01 1209 33:39 33:57 33:53 34:40 34:51 35:09 35:44 36:04 36:32
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/14 1211 33:47 33:47 34:28 34:50 34:35 34:47 35:46





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 23.8 668 0.0 0.4 0.5 1.2 3.7 8.3 17.8 30.2 37.7 0.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jake Kasperski 87.9
Adam Smercina 114.8
Adam Bess 139.7
Louis Guardiola 152.0
Matt Leis 171.0
Thomas Gibbons 171.5
Clinton Caddell 184.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 0.0% 0.0 17
18 0.4% 0.4 18
19 0.5% 0.5 19
20 1.2% 1.2 20
21 3.7% 3.7 21
22 8.3% 8.3 22
23 17.8% 17.8 23
24 30.2% 30.2 24
25 37.7% 37.7 25
26 0.1% 0.1 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0