UCLA
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
82  Nick Hartle JR 31:46
89  Sergey Sushchickh JR 31:48
99  Jonah Diaz SO 31:50
107  Ferdinand Edman SO 31:51
115  Lane Werley JR 31:52
286  Myles Smith FR 32:25
395  Richard Ho FR 32:41
587  Daniel Herrera SR 33:00
705  Jordan Senko SR 33:11
710  Chase Zukerman SR 33:12
793  Sean Davis SO 33:19
903  Austin O'Neil SO 33:30
949  Michael McCabe SO 33:35
National Rank #14 of 311
West Region Rank #4 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 98.0%
Most Likely Finish 14th at Nationals


National Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at Nationals 5.2%
Top 10 at Nationals 29.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 82.3%


Regional Champion 0.5%
Top 5 in Regional 91.9%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Nick Hartle Sergey Sushchickh Jonah Diaz Ferdinand Edman Lane Werley Myles Smith Richard Ho Daniel Herrera Jordan Senko Chase Zukerman Sean Davis
Washington Invitational 10/04 396 31:35 31:36 31:34 31:33 32:16 33:19
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 389 31:25 31:54 31:33 31:42 31:52 32:35 33:15
CSU Fullerton Titan 10/24 32:45
Pac-12 Championships 10/31 661 32:09 32:13 32:14 31:42 32:46 32:35 32:59 33:23
West Region Championships 11/14 452 31:49 31:53 31:53 31:41 31:43 32:41 33:28
NCAA Championship 11/22 528 31:59 31:28 32:06 33:04 31:49 32:19





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 98.0% 14.2 402 0.1 0.2 1.0 1.5 2.4 3.6 4.4 4.8 5.8 5.7 6.8 6.1 6.2 7.1 6.0 5.2 4.5 4.2 4.0 2.9 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.1 1.4 1.3 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.3
Region Championship 100% 4.4 134 0.5 2.8 10.0 44.9 33.8 6.2 1.3 0.3 0.2 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nick Hartle 98.1% 81.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3
Sergey Sushchickh 98.0% 88.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4
Jonah Diaz 98.0% 94.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2
Ferdinand Edman 98.1% 98.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Lane Werley 98.0% 100.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1
Myles Smith 98.0% 182.6
Richard Ho 98.0% 210.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nick Hartle 21.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.6 2.3 2.6 3.0 3.6 3.0 3.7 3.2 3.8 3.6 3.3 3.5 3.3 3.7 3.1 2.8 2.8 2.7
Sergey Sushchickh 23.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.6 1.9 2.4 2.5 3.2 2.9 3.2 4.0 3.9 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.4 3.2 3.0 2.8
Jonah Diaz 24.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.7 2.4 2.8 2.4 2.9 3.8 3.3 3.1 3.3 3.1 3.6 3.1 3.4 2.9 2.8
Ferdinand Edman 26.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.6 1.9 2.4 2.5 2.8 2.7 3.3 2.9 3.7 3.3 3.3 3.2 2.8 3.1 2.9
Lane Werley 26.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.7 2.4 2.2 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.4 3.2 3.1 3.5 3.5 3.1 3.0 2.7
Myles Smith 50.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2
Richard Ho 63.7 0.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.5% 100.0% 0.5 0.5 1
2 2.8% 100.0% 2.8 2.8 2
3 10.0% 100.0% 5.2 3.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 10.0 3
4 44.9% 100.0% 18.5 15.1 6.5 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 44.9 4
5 33.8% 99.9% 11.5 12.2 5.5 2.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 33.7 5
6 6.2% 98.7% 2.4 2.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 6.1 6
7 1.3% 1.3 7
8 0.3% 0.3 8
9 0.2% 0.2 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 98.0% 0.5 2.8 5.2 21.9 27.7 21.4 9.4 4.0 2.0 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 2.0 3.3 94.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Stanford 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Florida State 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Michigan 99.3% 1.0 1.0
BYU 99.0% 1.0 1.0
Arkansas 98.4% 1.0 1.0
Providence 98.3% 1.0 1.0
Villanova 96.6% 1.0 1.0
Washington 96.4% 2.0 1.9
New Mexico 96.3% 1.0 1.0
Virginia 90.9% 1.0 0.9
Michigan State 90.5% 1.0 0.9
Indiana 83.4% 2.0 1.7
North Carolina 70.4% 1.0 0.7
Oklahoma 58.7% 2.0 1.2
Iowa State 42.0% 1.0 0.4
Minnesota 35.0% 1.0 0.4
Eastern Kentucky 22.6% 1.0 0.2
Princeton 14.7% 1.0 0.1
Lamar 13.6% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 7.6% 1.0 0.1
Texas A&M 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 16.5
Minimum 10.0
Maximum 21.0