Butler
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
15  Erik Peterson SR 31:13
609  Bobby Johnson SO 33:10
843  Matt Lumbar SO 33:33
913  Johnny Leverenz FR 33:40
931  Jacob Priddey FR 33:41
934  Billy Thomas SO 33:41
1,027  Eric Baugh FR 33:50
1,510  Chris O'Brien SO 34:31
1,823  Harry Winter SO 35:02
2,194  Michael Carey SO 35:46
2,214  James Martin SR 35:48
2,235  Malik Mahmud SO 35:51
2,564  Jon Kortman SR 36:52
National Rank #72 of 308
Great Lakes Region Rank #10 of 31
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 11th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 19.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Erik Peterson Bobby Johnson Matt Lumbar Johnny Leverenz Jacob Priddey Billy Thomas Eric Baugh Chris O'Brien Harry Winter Michael Carey James Martin
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/26 941 31:16 33:01 34:16 33:19 33:40 33:53 34:02
Joe Piane Notre Dame Invitational (Gold) 10/02 1300 33:35 34:15 35:54 36:44
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 941 31:22 33:30 33:01 34:11 33:58 33:17 35:24
Illini Open 10/23 1368 35:06 35:40 35:24
Big East Conference Championships 10/31 969 31:22 33:22 33:36 33:30 34:08 35:14 34:35
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/13 936 31:22 32:50 33:38 33:44 33:45 33:56 36:28
NCAA Championship 11/21 30:55





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 11.8 339 0.0 0.9 4.7 14.2 29.3 21.9 14.4 7.9 3.9 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erik Peterson 99.6% 21.7 0.2 1.1 2.1 2.4 2.8 2.8 3.4 3.8 3.1 3.3 2.7 2.8 2.5 2.8 2.4 2.6 1.9 2.1 1.8 2.1 1.5 1.6 2.0 1.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erik Peterson 1.5 40.2 21.0 10.4 7.2 4.4 3.3 2.4 2.3 1.6 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
Bobby Johnson 67.2
Matt Lumbar 88.0
Johnny Leverenz 94.3
Jacob Priddey 96.1
Billy Thomas 95.2
Eric Baugh 105.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 0.0% 0.0 7
8 0.9% 0.9 8
9 4.7% 4.7 9
10 14.2% 14.2 10
11 29.3% 29.3 11
12 21.9% 21.9 12
13 14.4% 14.4 13
14 7.9% 7.9 14
15 3.9% 3.9 15
16 1.5% 1.5 16
17 0.9% 0.9 17
18 0.3% 0.3 18
19 0.1% 0.1 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0