Florida State
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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RankNameGradeRating
110  Harry Mulenga JR 31:53
195  Jack Goodwin SR 32:13
196  Stanley Linton JR 32:13
242  Zak Seddon SR 32:24
440  Grant Nykaza JR 32:52
542  Michael Hall SO 33:04
928  Bryce Kelley SO 33:40
1,006  Andrew Coscoran FR 33:47
1,090  Otniel Teixeira JR 33:54
1,262  William Bridges SR 34:09
1,789  Matthew Magee SO 34:59
1,911  Zainelabdin Fator SO 35:12
National Rank #39 of 308
South Region Rank #1 of 40
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 91.6%
Most Likely Finish 30th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 7.6%


Regional Champion 49.3%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Harry Mulenga Jack Goodwin Stanley Linton Zak Seddon Grant Nykaza Michael Hall Bryce Kelley Andrew Coscoran Otniel Teixeira William Bridges Matthew Magee
Coast to Coast Battle in Beantown 09/25 914 31:59 32:40 33:53 32:52 33:06 33:09 33:20
Florida State Invitational 10/02 1040 33:05 32:36 32:35 33:44 34:08 35:21
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 701 32:04 31:51 32:27 32:00 34:10 33:02 33:38
Alabama Crimson Classic Invitational 10/16 33:46 34:39
ACC Championships 10/30 727 31:30 31:51 32:25 32:53 33:10 33:35 33:58 33:56 34:41
South Region Championships 11/13 672 31:47 32:15 32:16 32:15 32:24 32:59 34:31
NCAA Championship 11/21 733 32:21 32:25 31:53 32:12 32:40 33:06 34:03





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 91.6% 26.8 625 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.4 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.9 3.8 5.5 6.4 8.0 10.4 13.1 15.1 12.2
Region Championship 100% 1.6 69 49.3 41.9 6.6 1.6 0.6 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Harry Mulenga 96.1% 95.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Jack Goodwin 92.5% 144.1
Stanley Linton 93.0% 143.4
Zak Seddon 91.9% 166.1
Grant Nykaza 91.6% 214.4
Michael Hall 91.7% 226.1
Bryce Kelley 91.7% 245.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Harry Mulenga 3.4 11.5 17.7 15.6 12.2 7.9 6.4 5.3 3.8 3.1 2.5 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2
Jack Goodwin 8.6 0.4 1.7 3.6 6.8 8.9 9.2 7.9 7.5 6.8 5.6 4.7 4.5 4.6 3.6 3.1 2.8 2.4 1.9 1.3 1.7 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.9 0.7
Stanley Linton 8.5 0.4 1.9 4.1 6.3 8.4 9.1 9.0 7.5 6.6 5.6 5.6 4.3 3.6 3.8 3.0 2.5 2.2 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.8
Zak Seddon 12.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 2.8 4.1 6.2 6.5 6.6 6.5 5.9 5.6 5.8 4.3 4.7 4.0 3.6 3.1 3.0 2.5 2.2 1.8 1.5 1.5 1.3
Grant Nykaza 26.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.9 2.0 1.9 3.2 3.2 3.5 3.7 3.8 4.2 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.4 3.7
Michael Hall 34.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.5 2.2 2.5 2.9 2.7 3.6 3.5
Bryce Kelley 64.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 49.3% 100.0% 49.3 49.3 1
2 41.9% 100.0% 41.9 41.9 2
3 6.6% 6.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.2 0.4 3
4 1.6% 1.6 4
5 0.6% 0.6 5
6 0.0% 0.0 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
Total 100% 91.6% 49.3 41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.4 91.2 0.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Mississippi 91.7% 1.0 0.9
Oklahoma 60.8% 1.0 0.6
Illinois 47.5% 1.0 0.5
Princeton 19.2% 1.0 0.2
Lamar 9.0% 1.0 0.1
Notre Dame 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Penn State 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Portland 2.2% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Iowa State 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Duke 0.0% 1.0 0.0
New Mexico 0.0% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 2.5
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 6.0