Georgetown
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
6  Jonathan Green SO 30:59
82  Darren Fahy JR 31:44
190  Amos Bartelsmeyer SO 32:13
191  Ahmed Bile JR 32:13
212  Michael Lederhouse JR 32:19
230  Scott Carpenter JR 32:22
318  Christian Alvarado FR 32:36
492  Connor Sheryak SO 32:58
700  Cole Williams SR 33:20
805  Adam Barnard FR 33:30
National Rank #15 of 308
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #1 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 98.4%
Most Likely Finish 13th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 2.5%
Top 10 at Nationals 23.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 79.4%


Regional Champion 84.4%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jonathan Green Darren Fahy Amos Bartelsmeyer Ahmed Bile Michael Lederhouse Scott Carpenter Christian Alvarado Connor Sheryak Cole Williams Adam Barnard
Paul Short Invitational 10/02 751 32:05 32:12 32:51 32:58 32:18 32:45 32:26 32:39 32:54 33:25
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 468 31:18 31:30 32:12 32:11 31:53 33:03 33:19
Big East Conference Championships 10/31 529 31:14 32:03 32:04 32:11 32:35 32:00 32:32 33:08 33:47 33:38
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/13 631 31:46 32:51 32:06 32:03 32:10 32:30 32:48
NCAA Championship 11/21 434 30:39 31:23 32:04 31:52 32:24 33:56 32:36





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 98.4% 15.2 417 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.9 3.8 4.4 4.7 4.8 6.0 6.2 6.2 6.0 5.9 5.5 5.9 5.5 5.1 4.0 3.5 3.2 2.5 2.7 2.4 1.9 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1
Region Championship 100% 1.2 45 84.4 11.3 3.2 0.9 0.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jonathan Green 100% 9.8 0.1 2.2 9.3 8.6 7.3 6.1 5.1 4.7 3.9 3.5 3.5 2.9 2.6 2.1 2.1 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.7
Darren Fahy 99.1% 75.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4
Amos Bartelsmeyer 98.4% 144.1
Ahmed Bile 98.4% 146.2
Michael Lederhouse 98.4% 158.3
Scott Carpenter 98.4% 164.2
Christian Alvarado 98.4% 191.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jonathan Green 1.7 6.9 63.1 18.4 7.1 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Darren Fahy 4.8 0.0 0.7 7.7 20.0 26.1 14.3 7.9 5.6 3.6 2.5 1.9 1.6 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1
Amos Bartelsmeyer 11.0 0.1 0.5 2.6 6.4 9.4 8.8 8.4 7.3 6.4 5.0 4.4 3.7 3.4 3.2 3.0 2.8 2.3 2.0 2.1 1.9 1.4 1.4 1.2
Ahmed Bile 11.0 0.1 0.7 2.9 6.5 8.0 9.0 8.4 8.3 5.9 5.5 4.5 4.0 3.6 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.2 2.1 1.9 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.4
Michael Lederhouse 13.7 0.1 0.7 2.6 4.9 6.8 7.4 7.0 6.5 5.9 5.1 4.6 4.4 3.8 3.8 3.2 2.9 2.9 2.5 2.2 2.2 1.8 1.8
Scott Carpenter 14.9 0.1 0.3 1.0 3.6 5.1 5.2 6.5 7.2 6.6 5.3 5.0 4.6 3.8 3.9 3.6 3.4 3.1 2.7 2.5 2.4 2.3 1.8
Christian Alvarado 22.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.5 2.9 3.7 3.8 4.3 4.4 4.6 3.5 3.9 3.8 4.0 3.6 3.5 3.7 2.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 84.4% 100.0% 84.4 84.4 1
2 11.3% 100.0% 11.3 11.3 2
3 3.2% 70.6% 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.3 3
4 0.9% 44.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.4 4
5 0.2% 0.2 5
6 0.0% 0.0 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 98.4% 84.4 11.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.6 95.8 2.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Louisville 88.3% 1.0 0.9
Virginia Tech 61.7% 1.0 0.6
Colorado St. 53.4% 1.0 0.5
Villanova 50.6% 2.0 1.0
Air Force 40.3% 1.0 0.4
Texas 38.3% 1.0 0.4
Southern Utah 36.0% 1.0 0.4
Minnesota 25.4% 1.0 0.3
California 23.4% 1.0 0.2
Eastern Michigan 22.0% 1.0 0.2
Providence 14.1% 1.0 0.1
Florida 8.5% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Cornell 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Stephen F. Austin 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Washington St. 0.7% 1.0 0.0
UC Santa Barbara 0.5% 1.0 0.0
North Texas 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Yale 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Duke 0.0% 1.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 5.3
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 14.0