Gonzaga
Men -
Women
2014
-
2015 -
2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
144 |
Troy Fraley |
JR |
32:01 |
217 |
Matthew Crichlow |
SR |
32:20 |
299 |
Kyle Branch |
SR |
32:33 |
385 |
Vince Hamilton |
SR |
32:46 |
539 |
Scott Kopczynski |
FR |
33:03 |
562 |
Jack Pearce |
FR |
33:06 |
608 |
Max Kaderabek |
SO |
33:10 |
660 |
Ian Goldizen |
JR |
33:16 |
783 |
Conor McCandless |
JR |
33:28 |
837 |
Andy Thomas |
SR |
33:33 |
900 |
Forest Tarbath |
JR |
33:39 |
1,132 |
Danny Lunder |
JR |
33:58 |
1,464 |
Kellen Manley |
FR |
34:27 |
1,668 |
William Thompson |
FR |
34:47 |
1,788 |
Benjamin Stout |
JR |
34:58 |
1,937 |
Henry Morris |
JR |
35:15 |
1,993 |
Coby Eastwood |
FR |
35:19 |
2,213 |
Kinsly Smith |
SO |
35:48 |
|
National Rank |
#57 of 308 |
West Region Rank |
#11 of 32 |
Chance of Advancing to Nationals |
0.1% |
Most Likely Finish |
10th at Regional |
National Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Regional Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 in Regional |
0.6% |
Top 10 in Regional |
54.1% |
Top 20 in Regional |
100.0% |
|
Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Troy Fraley |
Matthew Crichlow |
Kyle Branch |
Vince Hamilton |
Scott Kopczynski |
Jack Pearce |
Max Kaderabek |
Ian Goldizen |
Conor McCandless |
Andy Thomas |
Forest Tarbath |
Washington Invitational |
10/02 |
814 |
31:58 |
32:33 |
32:23 |
32:44 |
32:45 |
33:31 |
|
33:10 |
|
33:26 |
33:40 |
Inland Empire Championships |
10/17 |
927 |
32:29 |
32:31 |
32:47 |
33:09 |
33:03 |
32:53 |
33:11 |
33:15 |
32:51 |
33:16 |
33:39 |
West Coast Conference |
10/31 |
855 |
32:00 |
32:30 |
32:42 |
32:36 |
33:34 |
33:03 |
|
33:29 |
33:31 |
34:16 |
|
West Region Championships |
11/13 |
729 |
31:52 |
31:42 |
32:23 |
32:41 |
|
33:04 |
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33:17 |
34:11 |
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NCAA Championship |
11/21 |
|
|
32:09 |
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NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
0.1% |
23.6 |
543 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
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0.0 |
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Region Championship |
100% |
10.2 |
274 |
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0.2 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
2.9 |
6.9 |
15.5 |
26.9 |
25.5 |
17.8 |
2.5 |
0.1 |
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Individual Results
NCAA Championship | Advances to Round | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
---|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Troy Fraley |
20.3% |
102.5 |
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Matthew Crichlow |
1.9% |
134.5 |
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Kyle Branch |
0.2% |
120.5 |
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Vince Hamilton |
0.1% |
150.5 |
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Scott Kopczynski |
0.1% |
197.5 |
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Jack Pearce |
0.1% |
209.5 |
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Max Kaderabek |
0.1% |
223.3 |
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Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Troy Fraley |
27.5 |
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0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
3.6 |
2.9 |
Matthew Crichlow |
42.9 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
Kyle Branch |
54.3 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
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0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
Vince Hamilton |
65.9 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
Scott Kopczynski |
82.7 |
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Jack Pearce |
84.6 |
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Max Kaderabek |
89.1 |
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NCAA Championship Selection Detail
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Total |
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Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
|
At Large Selection |
|
No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
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1 |
2 |
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2 |
3 |
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3 |
4 |
0.2% |
37.5% |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
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0.1 |
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0.1 |
4 |
5 |
0.5% |
8.3% |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
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0.4 |
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0.0 |
5 |
6 |
1.2% |
1.7% |
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0.0 |
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1.2 |
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0.0 |
6 |
7 |
2.9% |
0.7% |
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0.0 |
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2.9 |
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0.0 |
7 |
8 |
6.9% |
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6.9 |
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8 |
9 |
15.5% |
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15.5 |
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9 |
10 |
26.9% |
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26.9 |
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10 |
11 |
25.5% |
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25.5 |
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11 |
12 |
17.8% |
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17.8 |
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12 |
13 |
2.5% |
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2.5 |
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13 |
14 |
0.1% |
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0.1 |
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14 |
15 |
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15 |
16 |
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16 |
17 |
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17 |
18 |
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18 |
19 |
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19 |
20 |
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20 |
21 |
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21 |
22 |
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22 |
23 |
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23 |
24 |
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24 |
25 |
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25 |
26 |
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26 |
27 |
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27 |
28 |
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28 |
29 |
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29 |
30 |
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30 |
31 |
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31 |
32 |
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32 |
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Total |
100% |
0.1% |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
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99.9 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Received By Beating | Chance Received | Average If >0 | Average |
San Francisco |
0.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
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Total |
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0.0 |
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Minimum |
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0.0 |
Maximum |
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1.0 |