Illinois
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
32  Dylan Lafond JR 31:25
186  Jesse Reiser FR 32:12
226  Ian Barnett SR 32:21
276  Billy Magnesen FR 32:29
322  Dan Lathrop FR 32:36
355  Zack Smith FR 32:41
410  Paul Zeman SR 32:48
414  Sean Pengelly JR 32:48
478  Alex Gold SO 32:56
517  Garrett Lee SO 33:01
533  Liam Markham SR 33:03
688  Jereme Atchison SR 33:19
1,429  Jack Driggs SR 34:24
National Rank #34 of 308
Midwest Region Rank #5 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 55.5%
Most Likely Finish 27th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.6%
Top 20 at Nationals 14.1%


Regional Champion 2.3%
Top 5 in Regional 90.8%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Dylan Lafond Jesse Reiser Ian Barnett Billy Magnesen Dan Lathrop Zack Smith Paul Zeman Sean Pengelly Alex Gold Garrett Lee Liam Markham
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/03 735 31:36 32:27 32:22 32:27 32:54 32:48 32:41
Greater Louisville Classic (Blue) 10/03 32:44 36:39
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 706 31:34 32:25 32:16 32:18 32:57 32:46
Bradley 'Pink' Classic Invitational (Red) 10/16 994 32:41 32:43 32:45 33:01
Illini Open 10/23
Big Ten Championships 11/01 531 31:13 31:53 32:01 32:21 32:05 32:49 32:57 33:14 32:20
Midwest Region Championships 11/13 758 31:34 32:01 33:08 32:48 32:50 32:47
NCAA Championship 11/21 31:09





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 55.5% 23.5 552 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.0 1.6 1.8 2.4 2.4 3.1 3.4 3.4 4.0 4.4 4.5 5.1 5.0 4.0 3.0 1.5
Region Championship 100% 3.9 127 2.3 13.1 23.6 27.2 24.6 7.5 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dylan Lafond 92.9% 39.8 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.9 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.6
Jesse Reiser 55.7% 138.3
Ian Barnett 55.5% 158.3
Billy Magnesen 55.5% 175.1
Dan Lathrop 55.5% 189.7
Zack Smith 55.5% 196.1
Paul Zeman 55.5% 206.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dylan Lafond 4.6 5.9 10.9 13.4 13.0 11.1 9.4 7.3 5.5 3.9 3.0 2.9 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4
Jesse Reiser 21.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.8 2.6 2.9 3.1 4.3 3.9 4.2 4.6 4.7 4.5 4.4 4.2 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.2
Ian Barnett 26.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.4 2.0 2.3 2.5 3.3 3.7 4.0 4.2 3.5 4.4 4.0 3.9 3.4
Billy Magnesen 32.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.5 2.3 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.2 3.3 3.1
Dan Lathrop 37.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.8 1.6 1.7 2.0 2.2
Zack Smith 41.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.5
Paul Zeman 48.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 2.3% 100.0% 2.3 2.3 1
2 13.1% 100.0% 13.1 13.1 2
3 23.6% 73.2% 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.6 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.1 1.4 1.1 1.2 1.3 6.3 17.3 3
4 27.2% 49.4% 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.3 1.3 1.5 13.8 13.4 4
5 24.6% 37.1% 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.0 1.4 15.4 9.1 5
6 7.5% 3.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.3 0.2 6
7 1.4% 1.4 7
8 0.3% 0.3 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 0.0% 0.0 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 55.5% 2.3 13.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.8 2.6 3.5 4.1 5.1 4.9 4.5 3.8 3.5 4.3 44.5 15.4 40.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Mississippi 91.7% 1.0 0.9
Michigan State 90.9% 1.0 0.9
Eastern Kentucky 65.9% 1.0 0.7
Indiana 61.1% 1.0 0.6
Oklahoma 60.8% 1.0 0.6
Minnesota 25.4% 1.0 0.3
Princeton 19.2% 1.0 0.2
Lamar 9.0% 1.0 0.1
Notre Dame 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 7.0% 2.0 0.1
Penn State 3.3% 3.0 0.1
Purdue 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Iowa State 0.8% 1.0 0.0
New Mexico 0.0% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 4.6
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 12.0