Miss State
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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RankNameGradeRating
535  Mathew Dunn SR 33:03
673  Andrew Monaghan SR 33:17
1,223  Branden Nosker SO 34:06
1,332  Curtis Kelly JR 34:16
1,353  JT Mackay FR 34:18
1,417  Patrick Monaghan SR 34:22
1,515  Tristan Orman FR 34:31
1,601  Quintin Reiser FR 34:41
1,702  Caden Foos FR 34:50
1,896  Emilio Perco FR 35:11
1,931  Pierce Rose FR 35:14
2,249  Zach Weaver FR 35:53
National Rank #142 of 308
South Region Rank #15 of 40
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 14th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 6.8%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Mathew Dunn Andrew Monaghan Branden Nosker Curtis Kelly JT Mackay Patrick Monaghan Tristan Orman Quintin Reiser Caden Foos Emilio Perco Pierce Rose
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/26 1151 33:10 33:02 34:09 34:50 34:48 34:04 35:21 35:00
Alabama Crimson Classic Invitational 10/16 1196 33:16 34:16 34:19 34:13 34:34 34:42 34:51 35:03 35:37
SEC Championships 10/30 1118 32:57 32:45 33:55 34:14 34:42 34:47 35:12
South Region Championships 11/13 1148 32:56 33:34 34:10 34:02 34:04 34:17





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 12.9 356 0.1 0.3 1.3 5.0 11.4 18.9 25.1 27.3 8.1 2.3 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mathew Dunn 0.0% 175.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mathew Dunn 34.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.9 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.2 3.1
Andrew Monaghan 45.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6
Branden Nosker 87.1
Curtis Kelly 95.5
JT Mackay 96.9
Patrick Monaghan 100.9
Tristan Orman 107.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 0.3% 0.3 8
9 1.3% 1.3 9
10 5.0% 5.0 10
11 11.4% 11.4 11
12 18.9% 18.9 12
13 25.1% 25.1 13
14 27.3% 27.3 14
15 8.1% 8.1 15
16 2.3% 2.3 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 0.0% 0.0 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0