Mississippi
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
98  Sean Tobin SO 31:51
218  MJ Erb JR 32:20
232  Robert Domanic JR 32:22
237  Craig Engels JR 32:23
419  Mark Robertson SO 32:49
446  Ryan Manahan SO 32:52
710  Trevor Gilley JR 33:21
758  Brandon Harvey FR 33:26
775  Ian Carter JR 33:27
1,032  Derek Gutierrez SO 33:50
National Rank #44 of 308
South Region Rank #2 of 40
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 91.8%
Most Likely Finish 30th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 5.7%


Regional Champion 48.2%
Top 5 in Regional 99.9%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sean Tobin MJ Erb Robert Domanic Craig Engels Mark Robertson Ryan Manahan Trevor Gilley Brandon Harvey Ian Carter Derek Gutierrez
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/03 594 31:50 31:33 32:09 32:25 32:44 32:18 33:05 33:20 33:59
Greater Louisville Classic (Blue) 10/03 1429 33:32
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 760 31:46 31:54 32:37 32:45 33:00 33:08 33:43
SEC Championships 10/30 834 32:08 37:06 32:38 32:09 32:41 33:26 33:15 33:21 33:09 33:44
South Region Championships 11/13 697 32:03 32:02 32:09 32:17 32:41 33:08 34:24
NCAA Championship 11/21 750 31:34 32:44 32:23 32:25 33:09 32:40 33:55





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 91.8% 27.4 638 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.5 2.6 3.4 4.3 6.4 8.0 9.7 14.8 18.0 14.6
Region Championship 100% 1.6 69 48.2 43.4 6.5 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sean Tobin 96.2% 89.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
MJ Erb 92.4% 159.2
Robert Domanic 92.2% 164.2
Craig Engels 92.1% 164.2
Mark Robertson 91.8% 211.0
Ryan Manahan 91.8% 214.1
Trevor Gilley 91.9% 238.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sean Tobin 3.1 15.6 18.9 14.0 10.9 8.5 6.2 4.5 4.1 3.0 2.5 2.2 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
MJ Erb 10.9 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.3 4.6 6.4 7.5 6.4 6.9 7.1 6.3 5.4 5.0 4.3 4.0 3.2 3.3 2.7 2.2 2.4 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.2 0.9
Robert Domanic 11.6 0.1 0.2 1.3 2.3 4.4 5.0 6.1 7.1 7.7 6.5 6.2 5.6 5.5 4.6 4.4 3.6 3.3 2.5 2.5 2.2 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.3
Craig Engels 12.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.0 3.6 5.1 5.9 6.4 6.9 6.8 6.4 5.4 5.0 4.7 4.4 3.8 3.9 3.3 2.9 2.5 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.1 1.6
Mark Robertson 24.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.9 2.1 3.0 3.6 3.9 3.7 4.1 4.3 4.2 4.0 3.9 3.7 3.8 3.5
Ryan Manahan 27.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.0 2.2 2.7 3.7 3.7 4.0 3.7 4.1 3.5 4.0 3.5 3.5
Trevor Gilley 48.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 48.2% 100.0% 48.2 48.2 1
2 43.4% 100.0% 43.4 43.4 2
3 6.5% 3.4% 0.1 0.0 0.1 6.3 0.2 3
4 1.5% 1.5 4
5 0.3% 0.3 5
6 0.1% 0.1 6
7 0.0% 0.0 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
Total 100% 91.8% 48.2 43.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 8.2 91.6 0.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Eastern Kentucky 65.9% 1.0 0.7
Illinois 47.5% 1.0 0.5
Princeton 19.2% 1.0 0.2
Lamar 9.0% 1.0 0.1
Florida 8.5% 1.0 0.1
Notre Dame 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 7.0% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Penn State 3.3% 2.0 0.1
Dartmouth 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Iowa State 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.8
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 6.0