North Carolina
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
107  Stephen Mulherin JR 31:52
154  Mark Derrick JR 32:04
205  Logan Carroll FR 32:17
415  Joe Sansone JR 32:48
1,134  Mitchell McLeod JR 33:58
1,490  Chris Madaffari JR 34:30
National Rank #47 of 308
Southeast Region Rank #7 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.3%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.1%
Top 10 in Regional 94.4%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Stephen Mulherin Mark Derrick Logan Carroll Joe Sansone Mitchell McLeod Chris Madaffari
Princeton Inter Regional 10/03 959 32:21 32:28 32:41 33:07 34:30 34:59
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 830 31:54 31:51 32:41 33:02 34:14 34:37
ACC Championships 10/30 768 32:09 31:56 31:57 32:49 33:43 34:21
Southeast Region Championships 11/13 651 31:13 32:19 31:53 32:09 33:34 34:10
NCAA Championship 11/21 32:00





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.3% 25.1 580 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 8.9 259 0.1 0.7 7.7 22.7 50.8 12.3 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Stephen Mulherin 38.0% 84.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
Mark Derrick 15.1% 112.5
Logan Carroll 2.9% 138.8
Joe Sansone 0.3% 196.0
Mitchell McLeod 0.3% 245.0
Chris Madaffari 0.3% 248.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Stephen Mulherin 17.2 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.4 2.1 3.0 3.3 4.0 4.5 4.8 4.7 5.0 4.9 4.5 5.0 4.3 4.6 3.9 3.9 3.1 3.0 2.7 2.9
Mark Derrick 23.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.5 2.2 2.5 2.6 3.5 3.9 4.1 4.5 4.3 4.5 4.8 3.8 4.7 4.4 3.9
Logan Carroll 29.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.8 1.1 1.5 2.2 2.1 3.0 3.3 3.7 4.3 4.4 3.9
Joe Sansone 53.2 0.0 0.1 0.1
Mitchell McLeod 120.7
Chris Madaffari 151.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 0.1% 40.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5
6 0.7% 36.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.2 6
7 7.7% 7.7 7
8 22.7% 22.7 8
9 50.8% 50.8 9
10 12.3% 12.3 10
11 3.7% 3.7 11
12 1.3% 1.3 12
13 0.3% 0.3 13
14 0.2% 0.2 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.7 0.0 0.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Princeton 19.2% 1.0 0.2
Lamar 9.0% 1.0 0.1
Penn State 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.3
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0