Northern Arizona
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
96  Tyler Day FR 31:49
111  Cory Glines JR 31:53
347  Harvey Nelson SO 32:40
450  Jeffery Miller FR 32:53
589  Peter Lomong FR 33:08
748  Mike Lowrie FR 33:25
1,102  Jarrick Wenslow SO 33:55
1,197  Jackson Crose FR 34:04
National Rank #46 of 308
Mountain Region Rank #7 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 2.8%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.2%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 2.4%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Tyler Day Cory Glines Harvey Nelson Jeffery Miller Peter Lomong Mike Lowrie Jarrick Wenslow Jackson Crose
Cowboy Jamboree 09/26 794 32:04 31:48 33:15 33:02 32:33 33:00 33:00
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 844 32:06 31:50 33:04 32:58 33:11 33:08 34:06
Big Sky Championships 10/31 719 31:28 32:09 32:19 32:23 33:24 33:50 34:30 33:54
Mountain Region Championships 11/13 854 31:36 32:01 33:02 33:25 34:00 34:14





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 2.8% 26.5 613 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.2
Region Championship 100% 7.5 187 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 8.6 40.6 30.7 16.7 1.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tyler Day 51.2% 84.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
Cory Glines 44.7% 91.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Harvey Nelson 2.9% 181.4
Jeffery Miller 2.8% 199.9
Peter Lomong 2.8% 217.3
Mike Lowrie 2.8% 229.8
Jarrick Wenslow 2.8% 245.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tyler Day 17.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.8 2.5 2.9 3.8 4.2 5.1 4.9 5.7 5.8 5.2 5.9 4.4 4.5 4.0 3.6 4.2 3.4 3.4
Cory Glines 19.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.4 3.0 3.2 4.3 4.7 5.4 5.2 5.6 5.2 5.5 5.0 4.7 4.3 4.5 3.9 3.3
Harvey Nelson 40.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3
Jeffery Miller 47.8 0.0
Peter Lomong 55.1
Mike Lowrie 62.4
Jarrick Wenslow 77.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 2
3 0.1% 66.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3
4 0.6% 38.7% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 4
5 1.7% 31.0% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.2 0.5 5
6 8.6% 23.1% 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 6.6 2.0 6
7 40.6% 40.6 7
8 30.7% 30.7 8
9 16.7% 16.7 9
10 1.0% 1.0 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
Total 100% 2.8% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 97.2 0.0 2.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Princeton 19.2% 1.0 0.2
Lamar 9.0% 1.0 0.1
Penn State 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.3
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0