Richmond
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
514  Mathew McKenna SR 33:00
890  Alex Lucking SO 33:38
1,286  Justin Keefe SR 34:12
1,378  Johnny Hogue SO 34:19
1,406  Jordan Chavez SR 34:21
1,716  Andrew Brennan SO 34:51
2,600  Matt McKew FR 36:59
National Rank #153 of 308
Southeast Region Rank #19 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 21st at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 50.4%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Mathew McKenna Alex Lucking Justin Keefe Johnny Hogue Jordan Chavez Andrew Brennan Matt McKew
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/03 1200 33:29 34:10 33:26 35:08 34:35
Cross Country Only National Invitational 10/17 1191 33:28 33:44 34:10 34:15 34:37 35:15
Atlantic 10 Championships 10/31 1149 32:53 33:12 34:38 34:32 34:21 34:18 37:00
Southeast Region Championships 11/13 1099 32:21 33:31 34:29 33:37 34:08 35:45





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 20.4 594 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.0 5.6 14.1 27.4 32.0 11.9 4.6 1.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mathew McKenna 64.2 0.0
Alex Lucking 101.1
Justin Keefe 134.2
Johnny Hogue 141.0
Jordan Chavez 142.7
Andrew Brennan 170.0
Matt McKew 254.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 0.0% 0.0 14
15 0.3% 0.3 15
16 0.8% 0.8 16
17 2.0% 2.0 17
18 5.6% 5.6 18
19 14.1% 14.1 19
20 27.4% 27.4 20
21 32.0% 32.0 21
22 11.9% 11.9 22
23 4.6% 4.6 23
24 1.0% 1.0 24
25 0.1% 0.1 25
26 0.0% 0.0 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0