Alabama
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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RankNameGradeRating
40  Antibahs Kosgei SR 31:31
200  Robbie Farnham-Rose SR 32:13
407  Conner Thompson SR 32:45
826  Josh Short SO 33:30
887  Evan Prizy SR 33:34
920  Garrett Bull JR 33:36
1,390  Andrew Bull JR 34:15
1,433  James Brinyark FR 34:19
1,507  Patrick Grant FR 34:25
1,956  Clay Austell SO 35:04
National Rank #52 of 312
South Region Rank #4 of 40
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.4%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 62.9%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Antibahs Kosgei Robbie Farnham-Rose Conner Thompson Josh Short Evan Prizy Garrett Bull Andrew Bull James Brinyark Patrick Grant Clay Austell
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/30 891 31:26 32:39 32:51 34:11 33:36 33:35 34:25 34:21
Alabama Crimson Classic 10/14 857 31:24 31:57 33:16 33:22 35:02
SEC Championship 10/28 814 31:10 32:13 33:04 33:02 33:26 34:10 34:16 34:27 35:11
South Region Championships 11/11 781 31:49 31:40 32:29 33:07 33:31 33:53 34:27





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.4% 28.1 687 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Region Championship 100% 5.4 166 0.4 3.8 15.7 43.0 20.6 11.5 4.3 0.7 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Antibahs Kosgei 94.8% 50.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.4 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.4 1.5
Robbie Farnham-Rose 20.6% 136.1
Conner Thompson 0.5% 195.0
Josh Short 0.4% 235.0
Evan Prizy 0.4% 244.0
Garrett Bull 0.4% 241.0
Andrew Bull 0.4% 251.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Antibahs Kosgei 3.2 14.4 18.0 15.1 12.9 9.8 7.6 4.7 4.7 3.3 2.1 2.2 1.6 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Robbie Farnham-Rose 12.3 0.2 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.1 4.0 5.7 7.1 9.3 8.7 7.9 7.2 5.6 5.3 5.3 3.6 2.4 2.4 2.3 1.8 2.2 1.5 1.5 1.0
Conner Thompson 26.4 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.5 1.7 2.5 2.9 3.1 3.4 4.5 3.9 4.3 3.6 4.1 4.1 4.3
Josh Short 59.8
Evan Prizy 62.6
Garrett Bull 65.3
Andrew Bull 101.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.4% 100.0% 0.4 0.4 2
3 3.8% 3.8 3
4 15.7% 15.7 4
5 43.0% 43.0 5
6 20.6% 20.6 6
7 11.5% 11.5 7
8 4.3% 4.3 8
9 0.7% 0.7 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4 99.6 0.4 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas A&M 43.0% 1.0 0.4
Baylor 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.4
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0