Charlotte
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
191  Tom Nobles SO 32:11
406  Aaron Gebhart FR 32:45
451  Zach Marchinko FR 32:50
981  Alex Cornwell FR 33:42
1,062  Paul Arredondo FR 33:49
1,457  Matt Bomkamp FR 34:21
1,479  Mihret Coulter FR 34:23
2,370  Alex Sumida FR 35:56
National Rank #76 of 312
Southeast Region Rank #10 of 48
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 10th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.1%
Top 10 in Regional 54.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Tom Nobles Aaron Gebhart Zach Marchinko Alex Cornwell Paul Arredondo Matt Bomkamp Mihret Coulter Alex Sumida
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/23 993 32:05 32:40 33:53 33:19 34:51 34:32 33:24 35:53
Penn State National Open 10/14 1011 32:24 32:51 32:47 33:41 33:35 34:21 34:27 35:59
Conference USA Championship 10/29 925 32:03 32:23 32:34 34:13 33:28 34:11 35:17
Southeast Region Championships 11/11 938 31:43 33:05 32:36 33:38 33:53 34:28





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 10.5 334 0.1 0.8 3.7 10.0 18.8 20.8 17.8 15.3 6.3 3.8 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tom Nobles 0.5% 115.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tom Nobles 19.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.9 4.2 3.9 5.3 4.6 4.8 5.7 5.5 4.4 4.3 4.4 4.5 3.4 3.5 3.7
Aaron Gebhart 42.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.9
Zach Marchinko 47.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.4
Alex Cornwell 101.2
Paul Arredondo 108.4
Matt Bomkamp 143.3
Mihret Coulter 145.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 0.1% 0.1 5
6 0.8% 0.8 6
7 3.7% 3.7 7
8 10.0% 10.0 8
9 18.8% 18.8 9
10 20.8% 20.8 10
11 17.8% 17.8 11
12 15.3% 15.3 12
13 6.3% 6.3 13
14 3.8% 3.8 14
15 1.8% 1.8 15
16 0.7% 0.7 16
17 0.3% 0.3 17
18 0.2% 0.2 18
19 0.1% 0.1 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0