Dayton
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
367  Hunter Johnston SR 32:40
500  Chris Negri SO 32:55
581  Spencer Danielson SO 33:05
744  Tyler Adgalanis JR 33:23
864  Ethan Louis SR 33:32
900  JP Flavin FR 33:35
1,076  Kyle Lach SR 33:51
1,401  Jordan Koczenasz SO 34:16
1,497  Tom Clark JR 34:25
1,554  Scott Seel SO 34:30
1,701  Luke Hoover SO 34:41
1,749  Michael George JR 34:45
National Rank #93 of 312
Great Lakes Region Rank #10 of 31
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 10th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 55.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Hunter Johnston Chris Negri Spencer Danielson Tyler Adgalanis Ethan Louis JP Flavin Kyle Lach Jordan Koczenasz Tom Clark Scott Seel Luke Hoover
National Catholic Invitational 09/16 1032 32:35 32:58 32:49 33:52 34:33 33:16 35:10 34:07
Friendship Invitational 09/17 1233 35:27 34:31 34:06
All Ohio Championships 09/30 1038 33:03 32:36 32:59 33:14 33:24 34:05 33:36
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Open) 10/15 1209 33:57 33:50 34:31 33:48
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Blue) 10/15 1026 32:21 32:51 33:32 33:12 33:26 33:49 34:43
Atlantic 10 Championships 10/29 965 32:20 32:38 32:55 33:00 33:50 33:32 33:18 34:28 34:21 35:20
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/11 1040 32:49 32:58 32:49 33:38 33:12 33:55 33:52





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 10.6 333 0.8 3.2 8.1 20.3 22.8 16.0 11.6 7.9 4.5 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hunter Johnston 0.9% 164.5
Chris Negri 0.0% 179.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hunter Johnston 39.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.9
Chris Negri 52.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3
Spencer Danielson 61.7 0.1 0.1
Tyler Adgalanis 82.5
Ethan Louis 92.4
JP Flavin 96.2
Kyle Lach 112.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 0.8% 0.8 6
7 3.2% 3.2 7
8 8.1% 8.1 8
9 20.3% 20.3 9
10 22.8% 22.8 10
11 16.0% 16.0 11
12 11.6% 11.6 12
13 7.9% 7.9 13
14 4.5% 4.5 14
15 2.7% 2.7 15
16 1.4% 1.4 16
17 0.5% 0.5 17
18 0.6% 0.6 18
19 0.1% 0.1 19
20 20
21 0.1% 0.1 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0