Elon
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
196  Nick Ciolkowski SO 32:12
1,613  Ian Mickool FR 34:34
1,766  Richie Kasper FR 34:46
1,916  Justin Leopold SO 35:01
2,005  Michael Germinario FR 35:09
2,253  Carlos Andino JR 35:40
2,324  Josh Kruppa SO 35:50
2,326  Colton Lawson FR 35:51
2,416  Cooper Jansson SO 36:03
2,525  Andrew Dyer FR 36:24
National Rank #143 of 312
Southeast Region Rank #19 of 48
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 25th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.9%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Nick Ciolkowski Ian Mickool Richie Kasper Justin Leopold Michael Germinario Carlos Andino Josh Kruppa Colton Lawson Cooper Jansson Andrew Dyer
Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/01 1133 32:06 35:16 34:24 34:44 34:57 35:37 35:56
High Point Vert Invitational 10/14 1301 34:18 35:27 36:03 35:27 35:33 36:25 35:23 36:49
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (White) 10/15 32:05
Colonial Athletic Conference 10/29 1180 32:30 34:22 35:18 35:03 34:47 35:13 35:28 35:12 36:05 36:30
Southeast Region Championships 11/11 1289 34:34 34:43 34:56 35:16 37:21 36:04





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 24.8 748 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.8 4.7 13.0 22.1 25.8 18.6 8.5 3.7 0.9 0.2 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nick Ciolkowski 0.2% 145.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nick Ciolkowski 19.6 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.9 1.7 1.8 2.7 3.1 4.7 4.3 5.8 5.4 5.2 5.7 5.5 4.9 4.0 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.1
Ian Mickool 156.9
Richie Kasper 173.1
Justin Leopold 188.5
Michael Germinario 198.1
Carlos Andino 226.2
Josh Kruppa 234.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 18
19 0.1% 0.1 19
20 0.8% 0.8 20
21 1.8% 1.8 21
22 4.7% 4.7 22
23 13.0% 13.0 23
24 22.1% 22.1 24
25 25.8% 25.8 25
26 18.6% 18.6 26
27 8.5% 8.5 27
28 3.7% 3.7 28
29 0.9% 0.9 29
30 0.2% 0.2 30
31 0.1% 0.1 31
32 0.1% 0.1 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0