Iowa State
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
65  Thomas Pollard FR 31:41
101  Kevyn Hoyos SR 31:50
133  Josef Andrews JR 31:58
141  Andrew Jordan FR 32:00
194  Toby Hardwick JR 32:12
304  Dan Curts SO 32:31
346  John Nownes SO 32:38
509  Sam Clausnitzer FR 32:56
National Rank #16 of 312
Midwest Region Rank #1 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 95.9%
Most Likely Finish 18th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 1.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 9.9%
Top 20 at Nationals 63.2%


Regional Champion 44.2%
Top 5 in Regional 98.2%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Thomas Pollard Kevyn Hoyos Josef Andrews Andrew Jordan Toby Hardwick Dan Curts John Nownes Sam Clausnitzer
Roy Griak Invitational 09/24 324 31:34 31:39 31:35 31:34 31:33 32:02 33:00
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 417 31:26 31:21 31:44 31:56 32:13 32:25 32:45
Big 12 Championship 10/29 652 31:55 32:15 32:02 32:09 32:23 32:26 32:46 33:03
Midwest Region Championships 11/11 652 31:48 32:04 32:06 32:15 32:34 32:35 32:44





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 95.9% 17.9 458 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 1.3 1.9 2.7 2.8 4.8 4.1 4.4 5.9 5.0 5.9 6.2 6.4 5.7 5.2 5.5 5.0 4.3 4.6 3.6 2.4 2.8 2.0 1.5 1.1 0.3
Region Championship 100% 2.0 79 44.2 28.9 14.3 7.1 3.8 1.6 0.3



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Thomas Pollard 96.8% 68.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.0 0.7 0.6
Kevyn Hoyos 96.1% 91.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3
Josef Andrews 96.0% 111.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Andrew Jordan 96.0% 115.7 0.1
Toby Hardwick 95.9% 150.5
Dan Curts 95.9% 190.8
John Nownes 95.9% 203.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Thomas Pollard 5.1 7.4 14.5 11.1 9.6 6.7 6.4 5.4 3.6 3.7 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.2 1.9 1.7 2.0 1.5 1.6 1.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5
Kevyn Hoyos 9.3 1.7 5.1 7.4 7.8 6.7 6.0 5.5 4.6 4.3 5.0 3.9 3.2 3.3 2.7 2.4 2.9 2.1 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.3 1.3
Josef Andrews 13.8 0.1 0.9 2.7 3.6 4.7 4.7 5.2 5.4 4.7 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.8 4.3 3.6 2.8 2.8 3.2 2.3 2.6 2.6 2.1 1.3 2.0 2.3
Andrew Jordan 14.7 0.2 1.1 1.5 3.2 3.6 4.7 4.0 4.5 5.4 4.3 4.3 3.6 3.6 3.9 3.7 3.1 2.9 3.7 2.7 2.6 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 1.7
Toby Hardwick 22.3 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.4 1.5 1.5 2.1 2.2 2.0 3.6 3.4 3.6 4.4 4.0 3.8 3.8 2.5 3.1 2.8 3.1 2.1 3.2 2.3
Dan Curts 37.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.5 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.6 2.7
John Nownes 44.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.7 1.2 1.1 1.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 44.2% 100.0% 44.2 44.2 1
2 28.9% 100.0% 28.9 28.9 2
3 14.3% 100.0% 4.9 5.6 2.2 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 14.3 3
4 7.1% 100.0% 1.9 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 7.1 4
5 3.8% 36.8% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 2.4 1.4 5
6 1.6% 9.4% 0.1 0.1 1.5 0.2 6
7 0.3% 0.3 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 95.9% 44.2 28.9 4.9 7.5 3.5 2.0 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.9 4.1 73.0 22.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Georgetown 99.1% 1.0 1.0
Wisconsin 99.1% 1.0 1.0
UCLA 95.5% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 92.4% 2.0 1.8
Boise State 89.6% 2.0 1.8
Colorado St. 85.2% 2.0 1.7
Eastern Kentucky 82.3% 1.0 0.8
North Carolina St. 81.2% 1.0 0.8
Washington St. 79.9% 1.0 0.8
Providence 78.3% 1.0 0.8
Southern Utah 71.5% 2.0 1.4
Tulsa 68.5% 1.0 0.7
Michigan 66.4% 1.0 0.7
Texas 56.7% 1.0 0.6
Princeton 43.8% 1.0 0.4
Texas A&M 43.0% 1.0 0.4
Eastern Michigan 42.4% 1.0 0.4
Navy 38.0% 1.0 0.4
Penn 36.5% 1.0 0.4
Illinois 32.4% 2.0 0.6
Washington 16.7% 1.0 0.2
Florida State 14.8% 1.0 0.1
Minnesota 8.2% 2.0 0.2
Furman 4.4% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 1.7% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.5% 2.0 0.0
Baylor 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 18.1
Minimum 11.0
Maximum 23.0