North Carolina St.
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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RankNameGradeRating
8  George Parsons SR 31:04
117  Aubrey Myjer SR 31:55
158  Bakri Abushouk JR 32:04
232  Patrick Sheehan SO 32:19
233  Ben Barrett FR 32:19
282  Sebastian Hanson JR 32:26
528  Elijah Moskowitz SO 32:58
574  Philip Hall SO 33:03
609  Aaron Thomas SO 33:08
696  Zack Langston SO 33:17
1,005  Alec Thomas SO 33:45
1,455  Kyle Christ FR 34:21
National Rank #18 of 312
Southeast Region Rank #1 of 48
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 82.9%
Most Likely Finish 14th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.3%
Top 10 at Nationals 6.7%
Top 20 at Nationals 55.7%


Regional Champion 49.4%
Top 5 in Regional 99.8%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating George Parsons Aubrey Myjer Bakri Abushouk Patrick Sheehan Ben Barrett Sebastian Hanson Elijah Moskowitz Philip Hall Aaron Thomas Zack Langston Alec Thomas
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/30 669 31:02 32:24 32:30 32:23 32:24 33:08 32:40 32:43 33:13
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational (B Race) 10/14 33:38 33:45
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 777 30:51 32:47 32:30 32:52 32:54 34:13
High Point Vert Invitational 10/14
ACC Championships 10/28 572 31:03 32:20 32:03 32:06 33:27 33:15 32:18 33:08 32:59
Southeast Region Championships 11/11 482 31:04 31:29 32:03 31:56 32:34 33:48





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 82.9% 17.9 458 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.7 1.3 1.7 2.2 3.3 3.1 4.1 6.1 5.4 5.6 4.9 5.0 5.9 6.0 4.8 5.3 4.7 3.4 2.7 2.2 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.4
Region Championship 100% 1.8 81 49.4 30.2 16.8 2.7 0.7 0.3



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
George Parsons 99.9% 11.1 1.2 4.5 7.0 6.3 6.6 5.9 5.1 3.8 3.6 2.8 3.0 2.4 2.7 2.0 2.3 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.1 1.3 0.8 1.1
Aubrey Myjer 82.9% 99.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Bakri Abushouk 82.9% 124.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Patrick Sheehan 82.9% 162.1
Ben Barrett 82.9% 163.5
Sebastian Hanson 82.9% 175.5
Elijah Moskowitz 82.9% 226.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
George Parsons 1.9 30.8 21.7 15.5 10.1 6.9 5.2 2.5 2.0 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Aubrey Myjer 12.7 0.2 0.8 2.1 3.7 5.1 5.7 7.0 6.1 7.4 7.2 6.5 6.2 5.3 5.1 5.0 3.8 2.7 2.4 2.3 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5
Bakri Abushouk 15.9 0.3 0.4 1.1 1.4 3.5 4.3 4.2 5.7 6.0 6.1 6.3 5.5 6.0 6.1 4.9 3.7 4.1 3.4 2.9 2.0 1.9 1.6
Patrick Sheehan 21.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.0 2.2 2.0 3.4 4.1 5.2 5.3 6.1 5.4 5.9 4.5 4.6 3.8 3.4 2.7
Ben Barrett 22.5 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.6 1.4 2.3 3.3 4.1 4.4 4.4 5.9 4.6 5.9 4.8 4.1 4.1 4.0 3.1
Sebastian Hanson 26.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.6 1.9 3.1 4.0 5.4 4.0 5.6 4.4 4.3 5.2 3.0
Elijah Moskowitz 55.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 49.4% 100.0% 49.4 49.4 1
2 30.2% 100.0% 30.2 30.2 2
3 16.8% 18.5% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.3 13.7 3.1 3
4 2.7% 7.4% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.5 0.2 4
5 0.7% 0.7 5
6 0.3% 0.3 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
Total 100% 82.9% 49.4 30.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.4 17.2 79.6 3.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Eastern Kentucky 82.3% 1.0 0.8
Texas 56.7% 1.0 0.6
Princeton 43.8% 1.0 0.4
Texas A&M 43.0% 2.0 0.9
Eastern Michigan 42.4% 1.0 0.4
Illinois 32.4% 1.0 0.3
Florida State 14.8% 2.0 0.3
Columbia 1.7% 1.0 0.0
Virginia Tech 0.9% 1.0 0.0
Alabama 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Baylor 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 3.8
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 8.0