Penn State
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
225  Colin Abert SO 32:17
261  Timothy McGowan JR 32:24
649  John McGowan SO 33:12
743  Bobby Hill JR 33:23
1,018  Brandon Tubby FR 33:45
1,095  Conrad Lippert SR 33:53
1,301  Billy McDevitt FR 34:09
1,465  Jaxson Hoey FR 34:22
1,638  Jordan Makins SO 34:37
2,341  William Loevner FR 35:52
National Rank #75 of 312
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #6 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 35.2%
Top 10 in Regional 98.1%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Colin Abert Timothy McGowan John McGowan Bobby Hill Brandon Tubby Conrad Lippert Billy McDevitt Jaxson Hoey Jordan Makins William Loevner
Roy Griak Invitational 09/24 953 31:58 32:27 34:00 33:05 34:13 33:42 34:45 35:50
Penn State National Open 10/14 906 32:08 32:03 33:02 33:13 33:50 33:45 34:26 34:07 34:40
Big 10 Championship 10/30 959 32:16 32:14 33:13 33:20 33:47 34:04 34:19 35:55
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/11 1011 32:46 32:34 32:52 34:42 33:10 33:46 33:32





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 6.4 205 0.1 1.9 33.2 25.5 17.6 10.5 6.4 2.9 1.2 0.7 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Colin Abert 32.9% 151.4
Timothy McGowan 17.3% 157.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Colin Abert 10.8 0.1 1.1 2.2 4.0 4.9 6.8 7.8 6.8 6.9 5.6 5.0 4.2 4.1 4.4 2.8 3.6 2.8 2.2 2.7 2.5 2.2 1.6 1.1 1.5 1.7
Timothy McGowan 14.6 0.1 0.9 1.5 2.1 3.3 4.8 5.5 5.2 5.3 4.9 5.3 5.2 3.7 4.2 3.5 3.1 3.2 3.4 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.4 2.4
John McGowan 44.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.6
Bobby Hill 52.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
Brandon Tubby 73.4
Conrad Lippert 82.3
Billy McDevitt 97.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.1% 0.1 3
4 1.9% 1.9 4
5 33.2% 33.2 5
6 25.5% 25.5 6
7 17.6% 17.6 7
8 10.5% 10.5 8
9 6.4% 6.4 9
10 2.9% 2.9 10
11 1.2% 1.2 11
12 0.7% 0.7 12
13 0.2% 0.2 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0