Pittsburgh
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
434  Aaron Lauer JR 32:49
520  Michael Runco SR 32:57
569  Nick Wolk FR 33:02
760  Ryan Hughes JR 33:24
1,171  Matt McGoey SO 33:58
1,576  Sebastian Curtin SO 34:32
1,678  Jackson Morton FR 34:40
1,702  Billy Caldwell JR 34:41
1,853  Drew Glick FR 34:54
2,164  Alex Archer SR 35:29
2,822  James Hare SO 37:45
National Rank #99 of 312
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #8 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 6.1%
Top 10 in Regional 81.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Aaron Lauer Michael Runco Nick Wolk Ryan Hughes Matt McGoey Sebastian Curtin Jackson Morton Billy Caldwell Drew Glick Alex Archer James Hare
Roy Griak Invitational 09/24 1053 32:25 33:31 33:00 33:13 36:25 34:11 37:07 34:43 35:51
Penn State National Open 10/14 1016 32:30 32:57 32:47 33:22 33:23 34:39 34:41 36:23 34:43 35:22 37:45
ACC Championships 10/28 1054 32:51 32:41 33:06 33:36 33:58 33:43 35:10 34:19 35:25 36:01
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/11 1104 33:11 32:51 33:21 33:30 33:51 34:41 34:03





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 8.6 256 0.1 0.1 6.0 10.9 13.0 19.1 17.8 14.2 10.2 5.7 3.0 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Aaron Lauer 0.6% 203.8
Nick Wolk 0.0% 220.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Aaron Lauer 29.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.2 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.5 2.5 3.2 3.4 2.7 4.0 3.4 3.5
Michael Runco 33.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 2.0 1.5 1.5 2.7 2.2 2.9 1.9 3.2
Nick Wolk 37.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.0 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.9 2.2 2.1 2.0
Ryan Hughes 54.2 0.2
Matt McGoey 85.7
Sebastian Curtin 117.3
Jackson Morton 124.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.1% 0.1 3
4 0.1% 0.1 4
5 6.0% 6.0 5
6 10.9% 10.9 6
7 13.0% 13.0 7
8 19.1% 19.1 8
9 17.8% 17.8 9
10 14.2% 14.2 10
11 10.2% 10.2 11
12 5.7% 5.7 12
13 3.0% 3.0 13
14 0.2% 0.2 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0