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Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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RankNameGradeRating
458  Marc Steinsberger JR 32:51
1,255  Johnathan Condly SO 34:04
1,262  Kevin Lapsansky FR 34:05
1,485  Zach Seiger FR 34:24
1,751  Donovan Mears FR 34:45
1,804  Tyji Mays SO 34:49
2,026  David Fitzgerald FR 35:11
2,208  Justin Yurchak FR 35:35
2,238  Shane Ramdeo SO 35:39
National Rank #161 of 312
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #15 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 15th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.1%
Top 20 in Regional 97.3%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Marc Steinsberger Johnathan Condly Kevin Lapsansky Zach Seiger Donovan Mears Tyji Mays David Fitzgerald Justin Yurchak Shane Ramdeo
Rider Invite 09/16 1188 33:14 34:12 34:12 34:18 34:36 34:36 34:33 35:32
Paul Short Invitational (Gold) 10/01 1153 32:48 34:32 34:09 33:49 34:38 34:12 35:55 35:52
Leopard Invitational 10/15 1191 33:07 33:50 34:11 34:45 34:58 34:52 35:02 35:41 35:33
American Conference Championship 10/29 1128 32:35 33:40 33:40 34:06 34:39 36:09 34:53 35:26
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/11 1235 33:50 34:09 35:29 34:54 34:20 35:45





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 15.9 457 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 4.8 21.7 23.0 16.8 11.8 9.4 5.9 3.2 2.3 0.5



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marc Steinsberger 0.5% 180.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marc Steinsberger 30.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.0 2.2 1.9 1.7 2.8 1.8 3.2 3.7 3.0 4.1 3.3
Johnathan Condly 93.2
Kevin Lapsansky 93.3
Zach Seiger 111.2
Donovan Mears 127.3
Tyji Mays 130.0
David Fitzgerald 144.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 0.3% 0.3 11
12 0.6% 0.6 12
13 4.8% 4.8 13
14 21.7% 21.7 14
15 23.0% 23.0 15
16 16.8% 16.8 16
17 11.8% 11.8 17
18 9.4% 9.4 18
19 5.9% 5.9 19
20 3.2% 3.2 20
21 2.3% 2.3 21
22 0.5% 0.5 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0