Texas-Arlington
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
77  Craig Lautenslager SR 31:45
270  Michael Guerrero JR 32:25
536  Justin Domangue FR 32:59
827  Joel Duren SO 33:30
1,149  Tyler Forde JR 33:56
1,274  Grayson Birka JR 34:05
1,410  Chris Myers SO 34:16
1,441  Grant Copeland SR 34:19
2,230  Cameron Woodberry JR 35:38
2,453  Martin Lopez SO 36:12
National Rank #64 of 312
South Central Region Rank #4 of 35
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.1%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 81.2%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Craig Lautenslager Michael Guerrero Justin Domangue Joel Duren Tyler Forde Grayson Birka Chris Myers Grant Copeland Cameron Woodberry Martin Lopez
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/30 968 31:45 32:41 33:43 33:44 34:05 34:52 34:11 35:01
Alabama Crimson Classic 10/14 941 31:51 32:32 33:03 33:36 33:37 34:01 35:51 34:03 36:19 37:24
Sun Belt Conference 10/29 870 31:48 32:09 32:45 33:34 34:29 33:49 34:47
South Central Region Championships 11/11 794 31:43 31:54 32:29 33:00 34:09 34:28





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.1% 30.3 773 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 4.7 186 0.2 2.8 49.2 29.2 13.9 3.4 1.3 0.3



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Craig Lautenslager 91.4% 75.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3
Michael Guerrero 23.0% 167.0
Justin Domangue 0.2% 218.5
Joel Duren 0.1% 238.5
Tyler Forde 0.1% 247.5
Grayson Birka 0.1% 248.8
Chris Myers 0.1% 249.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Craig Lautenslager 5.6 1.0 3.2 6.5 9.8 18.3 19.0 13.5 9.5 5.3 2.8 2.6 1.7 1.3 1.5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2
Michael Guerrero 14.5 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.8 3.7 5.8 7.5 8.1 7.0 6.5 6.4 5.1 4.3 4.8 4.6 3.8 2.7 3.4 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.2
Justin Domangue 32.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.8 1.0 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.3 3.5 3.0 2.7 3.3 3.4
Joel Duren 53.9 0.1
Tyler Forde 74.4
Grayson Birka 81.6
Chris Myers 92.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 2
3 2.8% 2.8 3
4 49.2% 49.2 4
5 29.2% 29.2 5
6 13.9% 13.9 6
7 3.4% 3.4 7
8 1.3% 1.3 8
9 0.3% 0.3 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2 99.9 0.2 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0