Men - Women
Tournament Championship Summary
2015 - 2016 - 2017



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.


RankSchool Regional ChampionTop 5Top 10Top 20Advance to Nationals
1 Arkansas South Central 19.6% 73.4% 94.8% 100.0% 100.0%
2 Northern Arizona Mountain 25.2% 81.3% 98.1% 100.0% 100.0%
3 Syracuse Northeast 16.4% 72.8% 96.1% 100.0% 100.0%
4 Stanford West 16.3% 75.0% 96.9% 100.0% 100.0%
5 Colorado Mountain 11.3% 62.7% 92.1% 98.3% 98.4%
6 BYU Mountain 7.8% 54.5% 90.0% 99.7% 99.9%
7 Oregon West 1.1% 23.0% 71.4% 96.9% 97.7%
8 Portland West 1.2% 18.1% 62.5% 96.9% 99.3%
9 UCLA West 0.8% 11.0% 49.5% 91.6% 97.4%
10 UTEP Mountain 0.1% 5.7% 38.1% 87.9% 94.9%
11 Iona Northeast 0.1% 6.3% 38.7% 91.7% 100.0%
12 Mississippi South 0.2% 4.1% 32.1% 88.7% 100.0%
13 Wisconsin Great Lakes 0.1% 4.8% 37.7% 93.1% 99.5%
14 Boise State West 0.1% 2.6% 23.1% 79.4% 93.4%
15 Colorado St. Mountain 0.1% 1.6% 17.0% 72.7% 91.9%
16 Iowa State Midwest 1.0% 9.9% 63.2% 95.9%
17 Washington St. West 0.5% 9.1% 57.0% 84.1%
18 North Carolina St. Southeast 0.3% 6.7% 55.7% 82.9%
19 Oklahoma State Midwest 0.5% 7.9% 53.6% 82.1%
20 Michigan State Great Lakes 0.5% 7.7% 59.9% 95.3%
21 Eastern Kentucky Southeast 0.3% 4.0% 45.4% 87.6%
22 Michigan Great Lakes 0.4% 4.7% 43.7% 79.4%
23 Virginia Southeast 0.1% 2.6% 30.2% 50.8%
24 Tulsa Midwest 2.1% 36.9% 74.7%
25 Southern Utah Mountain 0.1% 3.0% 34.6% 79.3%
26 Indiana Great Lakes 0.1% 2.4% 25.4% 50.9%
27 Air Force Mountain 0.4% 9.2% 26.4%
28 Mid. Tenn. State South 0.2% 12.4% 81.0%
29 California West 0.2% 4.3% 15.9%
30 Eastern Michigan Great Lakes 0.2% 10.5% 56.4%
31 Georgetown Mid-Atlantic 0.5% 16.0% 99.5%
32 Bradley Midwest 0.3% 5.8% 20.3%
33 Washington West 0.1% 5.6% 23.8%
34 Illinois Midwest 0.6% 14.2% 49.6%
35 Providence Northeast 0.1% 10.2% 79.1%
36 San Francisco West 0.5% 2.0%
37 Campbell Southeast
38 Cal Poly West 0.7% 3.9%
39 Furman Southeast 0.6% 6.6%
40 Minnesota Midwest 0.1% 1.8% 15.7%
41 Louisville Southeast
42 Columbia Northeast 1.6% 19.9%
43 Princeton Mid-Atlantic 1.7% 45.3%
44 Kentucky Southeast 0.3% 3.3%
45 Penn Mid-Atlantic 0.1% 1.2% 40.9%
46 Dartmouth Northeast 0.3% 8.0%
47 Villanova Mid-Atlantic
48 Florida State South 0.1% 16.0%
49 Navy Mid-Atlantic 1.0% 41.0%
50 South Dakota St. Midwest 0.2% 1.8%
51 Texas South Central 0.3% 56.7%
52 Alabama South 0.4%
53 Purdue Great Lakes 0.1% 1.1%
54 Georgia South 4.7%
55 Texas A&M South Central 0.4% 43.0%
56 Utah State Mountain 0.1%
57 Virginia Tech Southeast 1.0%
58 Oklahoma Midwest
59 Kansas Midwest 0.3%
60 Brown Northeast 1.3%
61 New Mexico Mountain 0.1%
62 Texas Tech Mountain
63 Missouri Midwest 0.0%
64 Texas-Arlington South Central 0.1%
65 Ohio State Great Lakes 0.0%
66 Butler Great Lakes 0.0%
67 Yale Northeast
68 Cornell Northeast 0.0%
69 Samford South
70 IUPUI Great Lakes
71 Gonzaga West
72 North Carolina Southeast
73 Wyoming Mountain
74 Weber State Mountain
75 Penn State Mid-Atlantic
76 Charlotte Southeast
77 San Jose St. West
78 William and Mary Southeast
79 Arizona State West
80 UL-Lafayette South Central
81 Harvard Northeast
82 Florida South
83 UC Santa Barbara West
84 Georgia Tech South 0.0%
85 Boston U. Northeast
86 Wichita State Midwest
87 St. Mary's (Cal.) West
88 Utah Valley Mountain
89 Army West Point Northeast
90 Saint Louis Midwest
91 Liberty Southeast
92 Tulane South Central
93 Dayton Great Lakes
94 Tennessee Tech South
95 Stephen F. Austin South Central
96 Duquesne Mid-Atlantic
97 Baylor South Central 0.1%
98 Eastern Illinois Midwest
99 Pittsburgh Mid-Atlantic
100 Lamar South Central 0.0%
101 Nebraska Midwest
102 Buffalo Northeast
103 Drake Midwest
104 Morehead State Southeast
105 Oakland Great Lakes
106 Miami (Ohio) Great Lakes
107 Stony Brook Northeast
108 UMKC Midwest
109 Maine Northeast
110 Notre Dame Great Lakes
111 Iowa Midwest
112 North Florida South
113 Ohio U. Great Lakes
114 Auburn South
115 Arizona West
116 Bucknell Mid-Atlantic
117 Cincinnati Great Lakes
118 Fordham Northeast
119 Illinois State Midwest
120 Indiana State Great Lakes
121 Connecticut Northeast
122 Wake Forest Southeast
123 Northeastern Northeast
124 Youngstown St. Great Lakes
125 North Texas South Central
126 Davidson Southeast
127 La Salle Mid-Atlantic
128 Duke Southeast
129 Boston College Northeast
130 Montana State Mountain
131 Norfolk State Southeast
132 Tennessee South
133 Marquette Great Lakes
134 Loyola Marymount West
135 St. Joseph's (Pa.) Mid-Atlantic
136 Maryland-Eastern Shore Mid-Atlantic
137 George Mason Southeast
138 UC Irvine West
139 Albany Northeast
140 Canisius Northeast
141 Cal St. Fullerton West
142 Kansas State Midwest
143 Elon Southeast
144 Rutgers Mid-Atlantic
145 Illinois-Chicago Midwest
146 Idaho West
147 Texas State South Central
148 Rice South Central
149 Loyola (Ill.) Midwest
150 McNeese State South Central
151 Lehigh Mid-Atlantic
152 Central Connecticut Northeast
153 Quinnipiac Northeast
154 Akron Great Lakes
155 LSU South Central
156 Manhattan Northeast
157 Sacred Heart Northeast
158 Appalachian State Southeast
159 Bowling Green Great Lakes
160 SIU-Edwardsville Midwest
161 Temple Mid-Atlantic
162 Detroit Great Lakes
163 Northern Kentucky Southeast
164 UC Davis West
165 North Dakota St. Midwest
166 Sam Houston St. South Central
167 Belmont South
168 Clemson Southeast
169 Santa Clara West
170 Marist Northeast
171 Idaho State Mountain
172 Northern Iowa Midwest
173 Seattle U. West
174 East Tenn. St. South
175 Toledo Great Lakes
176 UMass Amherst Northeast
177 Siena Northeast
178 Tennessee-Martin South
179 Eastern Washington West
180 St. Francis (Pa.) Mid-Atlantic
181 George Washington Mid-Atlantic
182 UT-Rio Grande Valley South Central
183 New Hampshire Northeast
184 South Alabama South
185 Lipscomb South
186 Vermont Northeast
187 Florida Gulf Coast South
188 Chattanooga South
189 East Carolina Southeast
190 New Mexico St. Mountain
191 DePaul Midwest
192 Va. Military Institute Southeast
193 Texas A&M-CC South Central
194 UC Riverside West
195 Wis.-Milwaukee Great Lakes
196 Marshall Mid-Atlantic
197 Central Michigan Great Lakes
198 Portland State West
199 Monmouth Mid-Atlantic
200 Memphis South
201 Pepperdine West
202 American Mid-Atlantic
203 UMBC Mid-Atlantic
204 Central Arkansas South Central
205 Arkansas-Little Rock South Central
206 Creighton Midwest
207 Kent State Great Lakes
208 High Point Southeast
209 Miss State South
210 Vanderbilt South
211 Sacramento St. West
212 Fresno State West
213 Long Beach St. West
214 Xavier (Ohio) Great Lakes
215 Radford Southeast
216 Houston Baptist South Central
217 San Diego West
218 Rider Mid-Atlantic
219 Binghamton Northeast
220 Richmond Southeast
221 UTSA South Central
222 Murray State Southeast
223 North Dakota Midwest
224 SE Missouri Midwest
225 Louisiana Tech South Central
226 Montana Mountain
227 UL-Monroe South Central
228 Western Kentucky Southeast
229 IPFW Great Lakes
230 Southern Illinois Midwest
231 South Dakota Midwest
232 Arkansas State South Central
233 Wright State Great Lakes
234 Col. of Charleston Southeast
235 Rhode Island Northeast
236 Troy South
237 UNC-Greensboro Southeast
238 Miami South
239 Austin Peay South
240 Winthrop Southeast
241 Valparaiso Great Lakes
242 Houston South Central
243 USC Upstate Southeast
244 UNC-Asheville Southeast
245 Mount St. Mary's Mid-Atlantic
246 Hartford Northeast
247 Western Carolina Southeast
248 N. Carolina A&T Southeast
249 Cal St. Northridge West
250 Holy Cross Northeast
251 Seton Hall Mid-Atlantic
252 Wis.-Green Bay Great Lakes
253 Wofford Southeast
254 Fairfield Northeast
255 VCU Southeast
256 South Florida South
257 Citadel Southeast
258 Colgate Northeast
259 Grambling South Central
260 Wagner Northeast
261 Kennesaw State South
262 Coastal Carolina Southeast
263 Northern Colorado Mountain
264 Hofstra Northeast
265 Western Illinois Midwest
266 Hampton Southeast
267 Niagara Northeast
268 Mercer South
269 St. Francis (N.Y.) Northeast
270 Bryant Northeast
271 SE Louisiana South Central
272 TCU South Central
273 Florida Atlantic South
274 Loyola (Md.) Mid-Atlantic
275 Lafayette Mid-Atlantic
276 Jacksonville St. South
277 Prairie View South Central
278 New Orleans South Central
279 New Jersey Institute Mid-Atlantic
280 Stetson South
281 Bethune-Cookman South
282 Coppin State Mid-Atlantic
283 Savannah State South
284 Evansville Great Lakes
285 Jackson State South
286 St. Bonaventure Northeast
287 Florida Int'l South
288 UNC-Wilmington Southeast
289 Texas Southern South Central
290 Charleston Southern Southeast
291 Alabama State South
292 Mississippi Valley South
293 Longwood Southeast
294 Gardner-Webb Southeast
295 Jacksonville South
296 Fairleigh Dickinson Mid-Atlantic
297 Presbyterian Southeast
298 Chicago State Midwest
299 Oral Roberts Midwest
300 Northwestern St. South Central
301 Arkansas-Pine Bluff South Central
302 N.C. Central Southeast
303 Delaware State Mid-Atlantic
304 Southern South Central
305 Tennessee St. South
306 Alcorn State South
307 Howard Mid-Atlantic
308 Morgan State Mid-Atlantic
309 St. Peter's Mid-Atlantic
310 South Carolina St. Southeast
311 Nicholls State South Central
312 Florida A&M South
313 100.0%
314 100.0%
315 100.0%
316 100.0%
317 100.0%
318 100.0%
319 100.0%
320 100.0%
321 100.0%
322 100.0%
323 100.0%
324 100.0%
325 100.0%
326 100.0%
327 100.0%
328 100.0%
329 100.0%
330 100.0%
331 100.0%
332 100.0%
333 100.0%
334 100.0%
335 100.0%
336 100.0%
337 100.0%
338 100.0%
339 100.0%
340 100.0%
341 100.0%
342 100.0%
343 100.0%
344 100.0%
345 100.0%
346 100.0%
347 100.0%
348 100.0%
349 100.0%
350 100.0%
351 100.0%
352 100.0%
353 100.0%
354 100.0%
355 100.0%
356 100.0%
357 100.0%
358 100.0%
359 100.0%
360 100.0%
361 100.0%
362 100.0%
363 100.0%
364 100.0%
365 100.0%
366 100.0%
367 100.0%
368 100.0%
369 100.0%
370 100.0%
371 100.0%
372 100.0%
373 100.0%
374 100.0%
375 100.0%
376 100.0%
377 100.0%
378 100.0%
379 100.0%
380 100.0%
381 100.0%
382 100.0%
383 100.0%
384 100.0%
385 100.0%
386 100.0%
387 100.0%
388 100.0%
389 100.0%
390 100.0%
391 100.0%
392 100.0%
393 100.0%
394 100.0%
395 100.0%
396 100.0%
397 100.0%
398 100.0%
399 100.0%
400 100.0%