Cal Poly
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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RankNameGradeRating
101  Swarnjit Boyal SR 31:47
364  Mikey Giguere JR 32:35
425  Clayton Hutchins SR 32:41
453  Sean McDermott JR 32:44
570  Chas Cook SO 32:58
597  Peter Cotsirilos JR 33:01
818  Alex Merder SO 33:24
1,285  Evan Jameson SO 34:02
1,332  Garrett Migliozzi JR 34:06
National Rank #53 of 315
West Region Rank #11 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 11th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 46.4%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Swarnjit Boyal Mikey Giguere Clayton Hutchins Sean McDermott Chas Cook Peter Cotsirilos Alex Merder Evan Jameson Garrett Migliozzi
Big West Championship 10/28 908 32:17 32:42 33:14 32:57 32:49 32:41 33:09 33:40 34:39
West Region Championships 11/10 803 31:24 32:28 32:55 32:31 33:46 33:38 33:13





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 10.5 313 0.2 2.4 11.5 32.4 44.8 7.3 1.1 0.4 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Swarnjit Boyal 44.4% 85.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Swarnjit Boyal 23.4 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.8 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.1 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.5 2.7 3.6 3.5 3.2 2.3 3.1 3.0 2.5
Mikey Giguere 62.4
Clayton Hutchins 68.7
Sean McDermott 70.2
Chas Cook 84.9
Peter Cotsirilos 87.5
Alex Merder 107.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 0.2% 0.2 7
8 2.4% 2.4 8
9 11.5% 11.5 9
10 32.4% 32.4 10
11 44.8% 44.8 11
12 7.3% 7.3 12
13 1.1% 1.1 13
14 0.4% 0.4 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0