California
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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RankNameGradeRating
67  Trent Brendel SR 31:36
117  Garrett Corcoran SR 31:51
267  Paul Zeiss SO 32:21
456  Takeshi Okada SO 32:44
547  John Hogan SR 32:56
631  Andrew Burkhardt FR 33:04
924  Steven Khan FR 33:32
1,103  Kai Benedict SO 33:46
1,137  Max Leach JR 33:50
2,265  Nikolaus Moore FR 35:42
2,346  Charles Sherman FR 35:56
National Rank #35 of 315
West Region Rank #9 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 4.1%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 1.1%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.8%
Top 10 in Regional 88.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Trent Brendel Garrett Corcoran Paul Zeiss Takeshi Okada John Hogan Andrew Burkhardt Steven Khan Kai Benedict Max Leach Nikolaus Moore Charles Sherman
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/29 517 31:28 31:39 31:48 32:17 32:23 33:27 33:56
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 875 32:18 32:57 32:42 32:43 32:42 32:31 34:02
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/14 33:57 35:42 35:56
Pac-12 Championship 10/27 609 31:36 31:33 32:07 32:34 32:39 33:39 34:09
West Region Championships 11/10 685 31:27 31:29 32:26 33:03 33:58 33:05 34:44





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 4.1% 23.4 583 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.2
Region Championship 100% 9.1 254 0.2 0.6 1.7 5.7 14.2 43.0 23.7 10.3 0.8 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Trent Brendel 66.6% 58.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.3
Garrett Corcoran 35.9% 91.1 0.1 0.1
Paul Zeiss 4.3% 143.8
Takeshi Okada 4.1% 204.1
John Hogan 4.1% 214.5
Andrew Burkhardt 4.1% 228.6
Steven Khan 4.2% 243.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Trent Brendel 15.8 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.5 2.8 3.7 4.9 3.4 4.0 4.2 4.2 4.4 3.8 3.6 3.5 3.4 2.8 2.9 3.1 2.1 2.5 2.2 2.4 3.0 2.0
Garrett Corcoran 26.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 1.2 1.2 1.6 1.2 1.7 2.5 1.9 2.3 3.3 3.5 3.0 3.6 3.0 3.4 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9
Paul Zeiss 51.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.4
Takeshi Okada 70.6
John Hogan 81.1
Andrew Burkhardt 90.1
Steven Khan 115.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.2% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 4
5 0.6% 100.0% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 5
6 1.7% 39.4% 0.1 0.3 0.3 1.0 0.7 6
7 5.7% 18.4% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 4.7 1.1 7
8 14.2% 8.5% 0.2 0.7 0.4 13.0 1.2 8
9 43.0% 0.9% 0.4 42.6 0.4 9
10 23.7% 23.7 10
11 10.3% 10.3 11
12 0.8% 0.8 12
13 0.1% 0.1 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 4.1% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.5 1.2 96.0 0.0 4.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
North Carolina St. 69.1% 1.0 0.7
Washington St. 42.1% 1.0 0.4
Alabama 34.6% 1.0 0.3
Florida State 23.7% 1.0 0.2
Tulsa 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Eastern Michigan 4.6% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 4.0% 1.0 0.0
Butler 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.9
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 6.0