Eastern Michigan
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
96  Hlynur Andresson SR 31:45
147  Lahsene Bouchikhi SR 31:59
166  Abel Flores SR 32:03
345  Mitchell Lenneman SR 32:32
529  Csaba Matko SR 32:53
617  Hunter Moore FR 33:03
705  Owen Day FR 33:13
800  Austin Wicker SO 33:23
1,627  Tom Jozwiak SR 34:30
National Rank #33 of 315
Great Lakes Region Rank #4 of 31
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 13.8%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 4.0%


Regional Champion 0.3%
Top 5 in Regional 74.8%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Hlynur Andresson Lahsene Bouchikhi Abel Flores Mitchell Lenneman Csaba Matko Hunter Moore Owen Day Austin Wicker Tom Jozwiak
MSU Spartan Invitational 09/15 1341 33:55
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/29 764 32:02 32:16 31:45 33:35 33:03 33:08 33:06 33:46 34:46
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 706 31:42 31:46 32:00 32:54 33:37 33:24 34:37
Mid-American Championship 10/28 750 32:03 32:07 32:19 32:24 33:15 33:19 33:02 32:51 34:12
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/10 599 31:35 32:00 32:05 31:56 32:50 32:57 33:28





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 13.8% 22.8 573 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.2 0.9 1.3 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.2
Region Championship 100% 4.6 141 0.3 3.8 22.7 24.8 23.3 13.9 8.1 2.5 0.6 0.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hlynur Andresson 63.1% 81.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1
Lahsene Bouchikhi 35.0% 105.4
Abel Flores 30.2% 116.3
Mitchell Lenneman 13.8% 183.8
Csaba Matko 13.9% 218.3
Hunter Moore 13.8% 231.3
Owen Day 13.9% 236.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hlynur Andresson 8.3 2.9 5.0 6.5 7.5 7.7 6.8 6.6 5.5 5.9 4.5 4.4 4.3 3.6 2.7 2.6 2.9 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.3 1.5 1.1 1.2
Lahsene Bouchikhi 14.8 0.5 0.7 1.5 3.0 3.1 4.0 4.1 5.3 4.8 5.5 5.7 4.6 4.2 4.1 4.1 3.5 3.3 3.4 3.0 2.9 2.4 2.3 2.2 1.7
Abel Flores 15.8 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.4 1.7 3.5 3.9 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.5 4.8 4.3 4.7 4.6 3.6 3.8 3.1 3.3 2.7 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.0
Mitchell Lenneman 35.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.5 1.2 0.9 1.3 2.3 1.6 2.1 3.0 2.9 2.3
Csaba Matko 57.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3
Hunter Moore 66.8
Owen Day 76.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.3% 100.0% 0.3 0.3 1
2 3.8% 100.0% 3.8 3.8 2
3 22.7% 28.4% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.6 16.3 6.5 3
4 24.8% 12.3% 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 21.7 3.1 4
5 23.3% 0.9% 0.1 0.1 0.1 23.1 0.2 5
6 13.9% 0.4% 0.1 13.8 0.1 6
7 8.1% 8.1 7
8 2.5% 2.5 8
9 0.6% 0.6 9
10 0.3% 0.3 10
11 0.1% 0.1 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
Total 100% 13.8% 0.3 3.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.1 1.1 0.9 86.3 4.0 9.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Illinois 56.1% 1.0 0.6
Penn 37.5% 1.0 0.4
Wisconsin 26.1% 1.0 0.3
Florida State 23.7% 2.0 0.5
Tulsa 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Columbia 4.0% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 1.0% 1.0 0.0
California 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Butler 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.8
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 6.0