Gonzaga
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
229  Max Kaderabek SR 32:14
318  Jake Perrin SO 32:30
320  Peter Hogan FR 32:30
354  Phillip Fishburn FR 32:33
356  Sumner Goodwin SR 32:34
614  Kellen Manley JR 33:03
722  Dillon Quintana SR 33:15
975  Scott Kopczynski JR 33:36
995  Kyle Thompson JR 33:38
1,107  Bennett Gagnon SO 33:47
1,223  Sammy Truax SO 33:57
National Rank #52 of 315
West Region Rank #10 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.7%
Most Likely Finish 10th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.1%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.4%
Top 10 in Regional 63.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Max Kaderabek Jake Perrin Peter Hogan Phillip Fishburn Sumner Goodwin Kellen Manley Dillon Quintana Scott Kopczynski Kyle Thompson Bennett Gagnon Sammy Truax
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 903 32:15 32:39 32:31 32:50 33:22 34:00 33:11
West Coast Conference 10/27 783 32:11 32:17 32:40 32:32 32:19 33:04 33:42 33:38 34:33
West Region Championships 11/10 843 32:24 32:39 32:19 32:20 32:54 32:54 34:16





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.7% 25.5 622 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
Region Championship 100% 10.0 295 0.1 0.3 0.3 1.7 5.0 19.4 37.3 31.5 4.1 0.5 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Max Kaderabek 3.6% 121.0
Jake Perrin 0.8% 178.0
Peter Hogan 0.8% 152.0
Phillip Fishburn 0.8% 160.0
Sumner Goodwin 0.7% 160.5
Kellen Manley 0.7% 223.5
Dillon Quintana 0.7% 222.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Max Kaderabek 45.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.0
Jake Perrin 57.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
Peter Hogan 57.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Phillip Fishburn 61.9 0.1 0.1
Sumner Goodwin 61.5
Kellen Manley 90.1
Dillon Quintana 99.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 4
5 0.3% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 5
6 0.3% 40.0% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 6
7 1.7% 8.8% 0.1 0.1 1.6 0.2 7
8 5.0% 3.0% 0.2 4.8 0.2 8
9 19.4% 19.4 9
10 37.3% 37.3 10
11 31.5% 31.5 11
12 4.1% 4.1 12
13 0.5% 0.5 13
14 0.1% 0.1 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 0.8% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 99.3 0.0 0.8




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Georgia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0