Jacksonville
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
2,477  Alex Turnock SO 36:20
2,561  Brett Gerhardt JR 36:39
2,884  Peter Dugan FR 39:10
2,908  Nick Ohlwein SO 39:34
2,911  Jordon Garman SR 39:40
National Rank #300 of 315
South Region Rank #37 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 37th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Alex Turnock Brett Gerhardt Peter Dugan Nick Ohlwein Jordon Garman
FSU Invitational 10/06 1611 36:03 37:32 39:12 39:10 39:47
ASUN Championship 10/28 1576 36:42 36:33 39:09 39:54 37:40
South Region Championships 11/10 36:25





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 37.3 1153



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alex Turnock 200.9
Brett Gerhardt 210.5
Peter Dugan 244.2
Nick Ohlwein 246.6
Jordon Garman 247.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 1.4% 1.4 35
36 8.4% 8.4 36
37 53.8% 53.8 37
38 36.5% 36.5 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0