Lipscomb
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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RankNameGradeRating
215  Jacob Poyner SR 32:12
327  Juan Gonzalez SR 32:30
530  Silas Griffith FR 32:53
798  William Kachman SO 33:22
903  Chase Hampton SO 33:31
964  Zach Israel SO 33:35
1,180  Kyle Johnson SO 33:54
1,349  Owen Glogovsky SO 34:07
1,430  John Green SO 34:13
1,519  Patrick Smith FR 34:21
1,553  Ryan Speer JR 34:23
1,699  Brody Beiler SO 34:37
1,812  Robert Rupp JR 34:48
1,964  Jared Rodriguez FR 35:02
2,120  Robert Lockwood SO 35:22
2,239  Mitch Zabka SR 35:39
2,700  Austin Ray SO 37:21
2,723  Nathan Morgan SO 37:29
National Rank #75 of 315
South Region Rank #9 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 11.9%
Top 10 in Regional 83.3%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Jacob Poyner Juan Gonzalez Silas Griffith William Kachman Chase Hampton Zach Israel Kyle Johnson Owen Glogovsky John Green Patrick Smith Ryan Speer
Stan Sims Invitational 09/08 1306 34:31
Commodore Classic 09/16 859 32:10 32:11 32:28 33:03 34:07 33:23 33:15 34:06 34:01
Louisville Classic (Gold) 09/30 1012 32:23 32:49 33:00 33:27 33:21 33:33 33:43 34:23 33:41 34:28
Foothills Invitational 09/30 1267 34:23
Crimson Classic 10/13 1412
Princeton Invitational 10/14 1050 32:13 33:06 33:41 33:50 34:09 33:48 34:11 34:33 34:39 34:23
ASUN Championship 10/28 944 32:02 32:41 33:03 33:04 33:20 33:23 34:14 34:14 33:54
South Region Championships 11/10 938 32:25 32:20 32:46 33:14 33:14 33:23 35:02





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0% 29.0 745 0.1
Region Championship 100% 8.2 242 0.1 1.0 2.4 8.5 13.2 13.6 16.0 14.7 14.0 9.3 4.5 2.0 0.9 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jacob Poyner 1.1% 132.5
Juan Gonzalez 0.1% 147.5
Silas Griffith 0.0% 211.5
William Kachman 0.0% 230.5
Chase Hampton 0.0% 236.5
Zach Israel 0.0% 237.5
Kyle Johnson 0.0% 248.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jacob Poyner 18.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.4 3.1 4.4 4.5 5.4 5.4 5.4 6.0 6.0 5.1 4.6 4.7 3.7 3.9 3.6 3.1 3.2
Juan Gonzalez 27.7 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.5 1.9 1.8 3.5 3.5 3.5 4.3 5.0 3.9 4.8 3.2
Silas Griffith 42.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.7
William Kachman 68.2
Chase Hampton 78.3
Zach Israel 83.5
Kyle Johnson 103.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 2
3 1.0% 1.0 3
4 2.4% 2.4 4
5 8.5% 8.5 5
6 13.2% 13.2 6
7 13.6% 13.6 7
8 16.0% 16.0 8
9 14.7% 14.7 9
10 14.0% 14.0 10
11 9.3% 9.3 11
12 4.5% 4.5 12
13 2.0% 2.0 13
14 0.9% 0.9 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1 100.0 0.1 0.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Princeton 69.0% 1.0 0.7
Belmont 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.7
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0