Pittsburgh
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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RankNameGradeRating
300  Ryan Hughes SR 32:26
336  Aaron Lauer SR 32:31
446  Nick Wolk SO 32:43
912  Billy Caldwell SR 33:31
1,302  Zach Lefever FR 34:04
1,333  Jackson Morton SO 34:06
1,366  Matt McGoey JR 34:09
1,757  Sebastian Curtin JR 34:42
1,953  Nate Sloan JR 35:01
2,129  Andrew Burroughs FR 35:23
National Rank #84 of 315
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #8 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 1.0%
Top 10 in Regional 77.6%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ryan Hughes Aaron Lauer Nick Wolk Billy Caldwell Zach Lefever Jackson Morton Matt McGoey Sebastian Curtin Nate Sloan Andrew Burroughs
UB Stampede Invite 09/15 997 32:20 32:43 33:25 33:27 33:33 33:00 34:17 34:20
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/29 957 31:53 32:19 33:27 34:14 34:19 34:41 34:55 33:52 36:23
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 33:47 35:22 35:25
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 953 32:25 32:26 32:39 33:16 33:29 34:30 35:17
ACC Championship 10/27 1053 33:00 33:01 32:38 33:27 34:22 34:15 33:45 35:32
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/10 980 32:16 32:25 32:56 33:36 34:16 34:26 35:19





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 9.2 260 0.1 0.1 0.9 4.0 13.2 23.8 20.6 15.1 10.1 5.8 3.3 2.0 0.9 0.3



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Hughes 12.0% 170.8
Aaron Lauer 5.7% 166.5
Nick Wolk 0.4% 193.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Hughes 17.9 0.1 0.8 0.8 1.7 2.7 3.7 3.4 4.0 4.2 3.7 4.3 3.8 2.9 3.1 3.3 2.9 3.0 2.4 3.2 2.9 2.4 2.1 2.3 2.0 2.0
Aaron Lauer 21.8 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.7 1.4 2.3 2.3 3.5 3.9 2.8 4.5 2.9 3.5 3.0 3.0 2.3 3.0 2.2 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.0 2.7
Nick Wolk 30.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.8 1.4 1.4 1.9 1.7 2.1 2.2 2.5 2.1 2.3 1.9 2.6 3.1 2.7 2.4 2.4
Billy Caldwell 75.9
Zach Lefever 107.9
Jackson Morton 109.6
Matt McGoey 112.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.1% 0.1 3
4 0.1% 0.1 4
5 0.9% 0.9 5
6 4.0% 4.0 6
7 13.2% 13.2 7
8 23.8% 23.8 8
9 20.6% 20.6 9
10 15.1% 15.1 10
11 10.1% 10.1 11
12 5.8% 5.8 12
13 3.3% 3.3 13
14 2.0% 2.0 14
15 0.9% 0.9 15
16 0.3% 0.3 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0