Saint Louis
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
262  Manuel de Backer JR 32:21
898  Ben Naeger FR 33:30
972  Aaron Dugan SO 33:36
1,188  Dorrian Gordon JR 33:54
1,190  Hiob Gebisso SR 33:54
1,671  Sean Conlin JR 34:34
1,739  Colton Nettleton JR 34:41
National Rank #124 of 315
Midwest Region Rank #15 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 14th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 2.5%
Top 20 in Regional 90.9%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Manuel de Backer Ben Naeger Aaron Dugan Dorrian Gordon Hiob Gebisso Sean Conlin Colton Nettleton
Forest Park Festival 09/08 1130 33:03 33:21 33:29 33:47 33:43 34:24
National Catholic Invitational 09/15 1159 32:59 33:18 34:06 35:00 33:51
Joe Piane Invitational (Gold) 09/29 994 32:13 32:41 33:06 33:31 35:02 33:48 34:05
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 1066 32:15 33:41 33:25 33:39 33:47 34:58 35:13
A10 Championship 10/28 1117 32:16 34:16 34:46 34:27 33:53 35:33 34:55
Midwest Region Championships 11/10 1152 32:55 33:53 34:12 34:01 33:50 36:02





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 15.9 446 0.2 0.6 1.8 3.7 7.3 9.2 12.7 12.2 11.4 11.1 8.3 7.4 5.3 5.2 3.1 0.8 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Manuel de Backer 8.5% 152.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Manuel de Backer 21.6 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.7 1.2 2.1 2.0 2.7 2.7 3.4 2.9 2.8 2.8 3.3 3.4 2.8 3.4 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.6 2.0 2.8 2.3 2.6
Ben Naeger 87.4
Aaron Dugan 93.1
Dorrian Gordon 113.3
Hiob Gebisso 112.8
Sean Conlin 158.1
Colton Nettleton 163.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 0.2% 0.2 8
9 0.6% 0.6 9
10 1.8% 1.8 10
11 3.7% 3.7 11
12 7.3% 7.3 12
13 9.2% 9.2 13
14 12.7% 12.7 14
15 12.2% 12.2 15
16 11.4% 11.4 16
17 11.1% 11.1 17
18 8.3% 8.3 18
19 7.4% 7.4 19
20 5.3% 5.3 20
21 5.2% 5.2 21
22 3.1% 3.1 22
23 0.8% 0.8 23
24 0.1% 0.1 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0