Arkansas
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
82  Grace Heymsfield SO 19:56
95  Semehar Tesfaye SR 20:01
114  Andrina Schlapfer FR 20:05
223  Paige Johnston SO 20:25
248  Diane Robison SO 20:28
352  Jessica Kamilos SO 20:42
455  Keri Wood JR 20:53
467  Shannon Klenke SO 20:54
553  Rachel Carpino JR 21:02
650  Kaitlin Flattmann SO 21:10
1,570  Valerie Reina FR 22:11
1,801  Kelsey Wheelhouse FR 22:25
2,997  Codi Fritchie SO 23:59
National Rank #16 of 339
South Central Region Rank #1 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 14th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 2.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 12.5%
Top 20 at Nationals 61.1%


Regional Champion 84.1%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Grace Heymsfield Semehar Tesfaye Andrina Schlapfer Paige Johnston Diane Robison Jessica Kamilos Keri Wood Shannon Klenke Rachel Carpino Kaitlin Flattmann Valerie Reina
Greater Louisville Classic (Blue) 09/29
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 09/29 528 19:58 19:56 19:58 20:43 20:23 21:01 21:12 20:55 21:16 21:04
Chile Pepper Festival 10/13 585 20:11 19:57 20:06 20:31 20:54 20:37 21:28 21:26 20:56 22:12
SEC Championships 10/26 619 19:57 20:11 20:46 20:13 20:43 20:34 20:41 20:57 21:12
South Central Region Championships 11/09 525 19:55 19:54 20:30 20:14 20:22 20:46 21:17
NCAA Championship 11/17 552 19:45 20:22 20:07 20:12 20:54 20:48 20:40





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 18.4 463 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.6 1.9 2.8 3.1 3.6 4.4 4.9 5.5 5.2 5.1 5.2 5.3 4.9 4.4 5.1 4.8 3.8 4.3 3.9 3.7 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.3 2.2
Region Championship 100% 1.2 47 84.1 13.7 2.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Grace Heymsfield 100% 81.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2
Semehar Tesfaye 100% 92.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0
Andrina Schlapfer 100% 104.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Paige Johnston 100% 158.8
Diane Robison 100% 168.0
Jessica Kamilos 100% 200.4
Keri Wood 100% 220.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Grace Heymsfield 3.6 5.8 10.1 22.1 18.9 13.4 9.1 6.5 5.1 3.0 2.1 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semehar Tesfaye 4.7 2.7 6.1 14.4 16.5 15.4 11.4 8.4 6.8 4.8 4.1 2.7 2.3 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Andrina Schlapfer 5.8 1.7 3.1 8.8 11.7 13.6 13.4 10.7 8.6 6.8 5.5 4.5 3.5 2.3 1.7 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Paige Johnston 13.3 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.2 2.7 4.2 5.3 6.2 6.0 6.8 7.1 7.1 7.9 6.3 6.5 5.3 5.1 4.0 3.1 3.1 2.3 2.2 1.6 1.5
Diane Robison 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.7 2.4 3.7 4.2 5.1 5.5 6.2 7.4 7.5 7.2 6.8 6.0 5.4 5.2 4.4 3.6 3.3 2.2 2.3 1.8
Jessica Kamilos 22.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.6 2.1 3.2 3.7 3.9 4.7 5.3 5.3 5.8 5.3 5.4 5.6 4.8 4.8
Keri Wood 29.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.6 2.6 3.6 3.7 4.5 4.0 3.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 84.1% 100.0% 84.1 84.1 1
2 13.7% 100.0% 13.7 13.7 2
3 2.2% 100.0% 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2 3
4 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 100.0% 84.1 13.7 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.8 2.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Duke 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Penn State 99.0% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 97.3% 1.0 1.0
Vanderbilt 87.8% 2.0 1.8
Oklahoma State 40.6% 1.0 0.4
SMU 23.6% 1.0 0.2
Wisconsin 12.8% 1.0 0.1
Kentucky 11.2% 2.0 0.2
Georgia 10.8% 2.0 0.2
Mississippi 5.0% 2.0 0.1
BYU 2.8% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 1.2% 1.0 0.0
LSU 0.3% 2.0 0.0
James Madison 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Alabama 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 6.1
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 13.0