Brown
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
120  Heidi Caldwell JR 20:06
126  Margaret Connelly JR 20:08
128  Olivia Mickle SR 20:08
569  Leah Eickhoff SO 21:03
736  Bree Shugarts SR 21:16
883  Elaine Kuckertz SR 21:25
1,066  Alexandra Conway SO 21:38
1,401  Victoria O'Neil FR 22:00
1,423  Elizabeth Ryan SR 22:02
1,777  Kate Buss FR 22:24
1,806  Kelsey Albright JR 22:26
1,923  Kat Grimes JR 22:33
2,231  Abigail Braiman SO 22:54
2,259  Sophie Mateu FR 22:56
2,283  Tess Plant-Thomas SR 22:59
2,291  Emily McGurrin FR 22:59
2,549  Sasha Teninty JR 23:19
2,751  Taylor Williams SO 23:35
3,193  Elizabeth Costa JR 24:27
3,285  Audrey Davis JR 24:44
3,288  Angela Rugino SR 24:45
National Rank #40 of 339
Northeast Region Rank #7 of 42
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 3.9%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.6%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 8.7%
Top 10 in Regional 91.8%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Heidi Caldwell Margaret Connelly Olivia Mickle Leah Eickhoff Bree Shugarts Elaine Kuckertz Alexandra Conway Victoria O'Neil Elizabeth Ryan Kate Buss Kelsey Albright
Lehigh's Paul Short Run (Gold) 09/28 700 20:11 20:09 19:52 21:02 21:31 21:05 21:23 21:49 22:15
All New England Championship 10/07 1267 21:50 21:57 22:46
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 736 20:06 20:13 20:13 20:59 21:01 21:27 21:33
Brown University Rothenberg Invitational 10/19 1265 22:02 21:57 22:20 22:22
Ivy League Championships 10/27 701 19:59 20:07 20:02 21:11 21:12 21:49 21:49 22:21 22:24 22:24 22:34
Northeast Region Championships 11/09 760 20:12 19:46 20:31 21:03 21:26 21:20 21:50
NCAA Championship 11/17 20:19





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 3.9% 24.8 563 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2
Region Championship 100% 8.0 222 0.1 0.1 2.3 6.2 13.0 18.0 20.3 18.4 13.4 5.9 1.9 0.4 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Heidi Caldwell 43.8% 95.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Margaret Connelly 38.1% 98.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Olivia Mickle 35.2% 99.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Leah Eickhoff 3.9% 218.9
Bree Shugarts 3.9% 234.6
Elaine Kuckertz 3.9% 242.7
Alexandra Conway 3.9% 249.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Heidi Caldwell 17.4 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.7 1.6 2.2 3.0 4.3 4.8 5.5 5.8 5.6 5.4 5.9 5.0 4.7 4.3 3.6 3.6 2.8 3.2 2.5
Margaret Connelly 18.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.2 1.4 2.2 2.0 3.4 4.1 4.6 5.5 5.6 5.8 5.1 5.1 4.3 4.4 4.6 3.6 3.6 3.2 3.3
Olivia Mickle 18.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.7 2.5 3.1 3.7 4.0 4.8 4.9 5.2 5.9 5.3 5.6 4.7 4.5 4.3 3.7 3.3 3.5
Leah Eickhoff 74.1 0.0 0.0
Bree Shugarts 88.0
Elaine Kuckertz 98.5
Alexandra Conway 114.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 2
3 0.1% 66.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3
4 2.3% 50.9% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 1.2 4
5 6.2% 14.8% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 5.3 0.9 5
6 13.0% 4.8% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 12.3 0.6 6
7 18.0% 3.9% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 17.3 0.7 7
8 20.3% 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0.3 20.0 0.3 8
9 18.4% 0.3% 0.0 0.0 18.4 0.1 9
10 13.4% 0.1% 0.0 13.4 0.0 10
11 5.9% 5.9 11
12 1.9% 1.9 12
13 0.4% 0.4 13
14 0.0% 0.0 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
Total 100% 3.9% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.2 96.1 0.1 3.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Yale 24.0% 1.0 0.2
Wisconsin 12.8% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 10.8% 1.0 0.1
Northwestern 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 7.5% 2.0 0.1
North Carolina 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 2.0% 2.0 0.0
Colorado St. 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Virginia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.8
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 5.0